RN · São Paulo do Potengi immediate region

Caiçara do Rio do Vento: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Caiçara do Rio do Vento with 70.98% of valid votes against 29.02% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 41.95 points, 38.38 points left of Brazil.

Solid leftSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −47.05pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 4,195; 138th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Norte
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Rio Grande do Norte

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Caiçara do Rio do Vento−41.95 pts
Rio Grande do Norte−31.44 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)70.98% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)29.02%	−41.95 pts	Left bloc	82.77%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)65.31% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)30.26% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.93% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.83% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.65% Samara (UP)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Zema (NOVO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−36.53 pts	Left bloc	83.72%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)74.79% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)25.21%	−49.59 pts	Left bloc	81.75%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)71.92% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)23.34% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.56% Simone Tebet (MDB)0.85% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.20% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−51.03 pts	Left bloc	85.93%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)76.61% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)23.39%	−53.22 pts	Left bloc	79.86%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)53.84% Ciro Gomes (PDT)20.82% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)20.04% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.28% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.47% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.51% Marina Silva (REDE)0.48% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.26% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.22% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.04% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	−50.42 pts	Left bloc	88.81%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)74.96% Aécio Neves (PSDB)25.04%	−49.92 pts	Left bloc	80.78%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)68.08% Aécio Neves (PSDB)18.38% Marina Silva (PSB)12.41% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.41% +6 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.38% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.11% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.08% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.08% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.04%	−62.26 pts	Left bloc	85.25%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)50.02% Dilma (PT)49.98%	+0.04 pts	Right bloc	76.53%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)59.13% José Serra (PSDB)27.92% Marina Silva (PV)12.46% Eymael (PSDC)0.16% +4 more Plínio (PSOL)0.12% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.08% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.08% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04%	−43.75 pts	Left bloc	89.75%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.08% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)44.92%	−10.16 pts	Left bloc	82.83%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)48.82% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)45.86% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.81% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.98% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.41% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.07% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−7.23 pts	Left bloc	86.16%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.83% José Serra (PSDB)45.17%	−9.65 pts	Left bloc	89.74%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Ciro (PPS)38.51% Lula (PT)34.43% José Serra (PSDB)15.52% Garotinho (PSB)11.34% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.16% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	−68.97 pts	Left bloc	92.37%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)52.44% Ciro Gomes (PPS)24.37% Lula (PT)15.73% Enéas (PRONA)1.57% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.13% Sirkis (PV)0.94% Eymael (PSDC)0.88% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.75% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.75% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.75% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.44% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.25%	+12.66 pts	Right bloc	88.22%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)76.31% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)11.57% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)7.69% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)1.70% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.82% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.75% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.68% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.48%	+75.36 pts	Right bloc	92.13%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2010(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2014(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the São Paulo do Potengi immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.