RN · Pau dos Ferros immediate region

Rafael Fernandes: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Rafael Fernandes with 81.10% of valid votes against 18.90% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 62.19 points, 58.62 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −66.38pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 4,933; 118th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Norte
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Rio Grande do Norte

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Rafael Fernandes−62.19 pts
Rio Grande do Norte−31.44 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)81.10% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)18.90%	−62.19 pts	Left bloc	87.67%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)77.54% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)19.03% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.76% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.36% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.23% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03% Zema (NOVO)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	−57.90 pts	Left bloc	83.07%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)83.42% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)16.58%	−66.85 pts	Left bloc	86.31%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)81.43% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)15.25% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.47% Simone Tebet (MDB)0.64% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.08% Léo Péricles (UP)0.05% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−67.97 pts	Left bloc	85.10%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)85.03% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)14.97%	−70.05 pts	Left bloc	82.89%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)62.96% Ciro Gomes (PDT)21.69% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)12.54% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)0.78% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.54% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.39% Marina Silva (REDE)0.33% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.33% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.30% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.09% Vera (PSTU)0.03% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.00%	−70.25 pts	Left bloc	82.11%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)88.41% Aécio Neves (PSDB)11.59%	−76.82 pts	Left bloc	92.61%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)81.22% Marina Silva (PSB)9.31% Aécio Neves (PSDB)8.73% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.35% +4 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.22% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.06% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03%	−81.70 pts	Left bloc	90.85%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)86.99% José Serra (PSDB)13.01%	−73.97 pts	Left bloc	81.14%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)83.46% Marina Silva (PV)8.32% José Serra (PSDB)7.69% Plínio (PSOL)0.33% +3 more Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.10% Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03%	−84.42 pts	Left bloc	84.91%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)87.29% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)12.71%	−74.58 pts	Left bloc	89.91%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)81.44% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)14.67% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.41% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.19% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.18% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.07% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−70.09 pts	Left bloc	89.93%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)52.93% Lula (PT)47.07%	+5.86 pts	Right bloc	79.68%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Ciro (PPS)39.66% Lula (PT)29.69% José Serra (PSDB)22.44% Garotinho (PSB)8.13% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	−55.12 pts	Left bloc	80.68%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)54.47% Ciro Gomes (PPS)23.01% Lula (PT)16.89% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.19% +8 more Enéas (PRONA)1.14% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.70% Sirkis (PV)0.65% Eymael (PSDC)0.54% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.43% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.38% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.32% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.27%	+14.89 pts	Right bloc	84.70%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)80.90% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)12.85% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)1.91% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)1.84% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.05% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.99% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.33% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.13%	+72.33 pts	Right bloc	84.04%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Pau dos Ferros immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.