RN · Santo Antônio - Passa e Fica - Nova Cruz immediate region

Serra Caiada: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Serra Caiada with 71.43% of valid votes against 28.57% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 42.87 points, 39.30 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −47.60pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 9,067; 69th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Norte
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Rio Grande do Norte

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Serra Caiada−42.87 pts
Rio Grande do Norte−31.44 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)71.43% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)28.57%	−42.87 pts	Left bloc	82.74%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)66.98% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)29.76% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.87% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.81% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.51% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Zema (NOVO)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	−37.76 pts	Left bloc	80.83%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)70.92% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)29.08%	−41.84 pts	Left bloc	82.41%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)69.02% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)26.88% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.52% Simone Tebet (MDB)1.34% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.09% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.06% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	−43.16 pts	Left bloc	81.65%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)78.25% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)21.75%	−56.50 pts	Left bloc	82.49%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)66.05% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)18.69% Ciro Gomes (PDT)10.29% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.62% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.80% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.56% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.29% Marina Silva (REDE)0.25% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.16% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.15% Eymael (DC)0.07% Vera (PSTU)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	−53.60 pts	Left bloc	83.37%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)84.21% Aécio Neves (PSDB)15.79%	−68.42 pts	Left bloc	77.44%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)80.43% Aécio Neves (PSDB)10.62% Marina Silva (PSB)7.89% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.57% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.16% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.16% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.11% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02%	−77.30 pts	Left bloc	79.39%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)63.70% José Serra (PSDB)36.30%	−27.41 pts	Left bloc	74.77%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)69.71% José Serra (PSDB)23.91% Marina Silva (PV)6.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.10% +4 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Plínio (PSOL)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04%	−51.86 pts	Left bloc	81.83%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)79.20% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)20.80%	−58.40 pts	Left bloc	81.88%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)70.84% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)25.50% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.79% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.43% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.38% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	−48.10 pts	Left bloc	82.68%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)66.55% Lula (PT)33.45%	+33.10 pts	Right bloc	75.83%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)55.32% Lula (PT)25.93% Ciro (PPS)11.16% Garotinho (PSB)7.33% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.17% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.09%	+10.65 pts	Right bloc	78.75%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)73.65% Lula (PT)10.94% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.90% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.89% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)1.33% Enéas (PRONA)1.12% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.98% Sirkis (PV)0.77% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.49% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.38% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.35% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.21%	+54.35 pts	Right bloc	77.99%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)77.60% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)9.99% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)6.21% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.91% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.55% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.79% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.68% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.26%	+76.92 pts	Right bloc	78.84%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Santo Antônio - Passa e Fica - Nova Cruz immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.