SE · Itabaiana immediate region

Carira: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Carira with 73.42% of valid votes against 26.58% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 46.84 points, 43.27 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −50.62pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 17,132; 26th largest electorate in Sergipe
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Sergipe

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Carira−46.84 pts
Sergipe−39.07 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)73.42% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)26.58%	−46.84 pts	Left bloc	83.84%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)66.87% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)27.17% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.21% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.12% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.44% Zema (NOVO)0.07% Samara (UP)0.05% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01%	−38.36 pts	Left bloc	81.43%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)73.89% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)26.11%	−47.78 pts	Left bloc	78.42%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)70.04% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)24.26% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.04% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.16% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.31% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.05% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.05% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.01%	−46.33 pts	Left bloc	79.79%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)80.83% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)19.17%	−61.66 pts	Left bloc	78.69%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)68.19% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)15.62% Ciro Gomes (PDT)8.77% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)4.31% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.80% Marina Silva (REDE)0.63% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.60% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.57% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.31% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.15% Vera (PSTU)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.01% Eymael (DC)0.00%	−55.90 pts	Left bloc	79.21%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)77.29% Aécio Neves (PSDB)22.71%	−54.58 pts	Left bloc	83.81%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)72.95% Aécio Neves (PSDB)17.45% Marina Silva (PSB)6.98% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.80% +6 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.39% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.19% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.10% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.10% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−61.12 pts	Left bloc	84.53%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)52.27% José Serra (PSDB)47.73%	−4.54 pts	Left bloc	72.98%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)51.85% José Serra (PSDB)43.58% Marina Silva (PV)3.72% Plínio (PSOL)0.55% +5 more Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.10% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−12.61 pts	Left bloc	78.28%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)53.12% Lula (PT)46.88%	+6.24 pts	Right bloc	75.44%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)60.36% Lula (PT)35.31% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.84% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.18% +3 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.16% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.13% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.01%	+21.32 pts	Right bloc	80.74%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)69.47% Lula (PT)30.53%	+38.94 pts	Right bloc	76.45%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)33.46% Ciro (PPS)27.33% Lula (PT)26.22% Garotinho (PSB)12.73% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.24% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−33.08 pts	Left bloc	75.26%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)66.68% Lula (PT)19.52% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.27% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)2.32% +8 more Enéas (PRONA)1.50% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)1.03% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.59% Sirkis (PV)0.53% Eymael (PSDC)0.46% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.41% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.37% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.32%	+39.47 pts	Right bloc	75.16%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)55.41% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)29.87% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)7.24% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.54% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)2.21% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.26% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.93% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.54%	+35.83 pts	Right bloc	79.69%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2010(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Itabaiana immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.