SE · Estância immediate region

Estância: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Estância with 75.63% of valid votes against 24.37% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 51.26 points, 47.69 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −49.40pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 50,978; 6th largest electorate in Sergipe
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Sergipe

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

Loading municipalities…

Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Estância−51.26 pts
Sergipe−39.07 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)75.63% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)24.37%	−51.26 pts	Left bloc	82.44%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)69.35% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)24.27% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.66% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.89% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.64% Zema (NOVO)0.09% Samara (UP)0.03% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−44.17 pts	Left bloc	80.38%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)73.21% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)26.79%	−46.41 pts	Left bloc	78.60%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)70.16% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)23.60% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.03% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.70% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.25% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.13% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.02%	−46.53 pts	Left bloc	78.48%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)74.05% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)25.95%	−48.10 pts	Left bloc	78.72%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)56.48% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)22.10% Ciro Gomes (PDT)12.42% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.31% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.53% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)1.33% Marina Silva (REDE)1.16% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.72% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.49% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.31% Vera (PSTU)0.09% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.05% Eymael (DC)0.01%	−43.06 pts	Left bloc	79.40%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)77.97% Aécio Neves (PSDB)22.03%	−55.95 pts	Left bloc	82.69%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)65.16% Marina Silva (PSB)16.65% Aécio Neves (PSDB)14.64% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.64% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.28% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.28% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.17% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.08% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Eymael (PSDC)0.01%	−66.87 pts	Left bloc	83.03%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)65.87% José Serra (PSDB)34.13%	−31.73 pts	Left bloc	78.91%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)57.62% José Serra (PSDB)28.00% Marina Silva (PV)13.28% Plínio (PSOL)0.77% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.11% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−43.69 pts	Left bloc	82.09%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)69.44% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)30.56%	−38.89 pts	Left bloc	81.88%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.13% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)37.53% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)6.42% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.67% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.12% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.08% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06%	−24.43 pts	Left bloc	84.92%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)67.22% José Serra (PSDB)32.78%	−34.44 pts	Left bloc	86.31%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)56.54% Garotinho (PSB)18.63% José Serra (PSDB)14.33% Ciro (PPS)10.04% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.41% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	−71.34 pts	Left bloc	87.00%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)43.70% Lula (PT)38.80% Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.81% Enéas (PRONA)2.14% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.86% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.82% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.60% Eymael (PSDC)0.58% Sirkis (PV)0.58% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.41% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.38% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.32%	−4.94 pts	Left bloc	73.22%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)47.11% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)35.00% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)7.30% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)6.06% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.92% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.07% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.98% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.57%	+26.16 pts	Right bloc	81.06%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Estância immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.