AL · Santana do Ipanema immediate region

Carneiros: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Carneiros with 81.19% of valid votes against 18.81% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 62.38 points, 58.81 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −66.14pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 7,752; 80th largest electorate in Alagoas
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Alagoas

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Carneiros−62.38 pts
Alagoas−21.54 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)81.19% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)18.81%	−62.38 pts	Left bloc	77.54%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)75.79% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)20.54% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.76% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.53% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.31% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Samara (UP)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Zema (NOVO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−55.25 pts	Left bloc	76.61%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)82.76% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)17.24%	−65.52 pts	Left bloc	72.89%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)78.26% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)14.40% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.74% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.02% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.28% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.12% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.08% Vera (PSTU)0.06% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−60.76 pts	Left bloc	75.16%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)87.62% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)12.38%	−75.25 pts	Left bloc	73.32%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)76.89% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)10.40% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.76% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)3.75% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.39% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.64% Marina Silva (REDE)0.34% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.30% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.27% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.16% Vera (PSTU)0.07% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02% Eymael (DC)0.00%	−66.72 pts	Left bloc	73.89%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)83.64% Aécio Neves (PSDB)16.36%	−67.29 pts	Left bloc	75.94%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)79.65% Aécio Neves (PSDB)10.29% Marina Silva (PSB)8.69% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.61% +6 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.49% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.10% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.07% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02% Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	−78.20 pts	Left bloc	78.47%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)68.39% José Serra (PSDB)31.61%	−36.78 pts	Left bloc	71.20%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)72.36% José Serra (PSDB)19.74% Marina Silva (PV)6.96% Plínio (PSOL)0.64% +4 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.14% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.08% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−60.24 pts	Left bloc	72.90%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)74.19% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)25.81%	−48.37 pts	Left bloc	79.72%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)64.53% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)27.35% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)6.24% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.82% +2 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.03%	−45.19 pts	Left bloc	83.17%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)59.92% Lula (PT)40.08%	+19.85 pts	Right bloc	79.48%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Ciro (PPS)38.63% Lula (PT)37.37% José Serra (PSDB)15.89% Garotinho (PSB)7.92% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.15% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−68.23 pts	Left bloc	83.72%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)73.04% Lula (PT)17.76% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.45% Enéas (PRONA)0.58% +7 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.44% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.19% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.15% Sirkis (PV)0.15% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.10% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.10% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.05%	+48.02 pts	Right bloc	66.95%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)77.11% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)12.80% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.84% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.66% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.40% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.96% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.61% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.61%	+72.48 pts	Right bloc	83.13%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Santana do Ipanema immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.