ES · Colatina immediate region

Baixo Guandu: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Baixo Guandu with 57.57% of valid votes against 42.43% for Lula: a margin of 15.15 points, 18.72 points right of Brazil.

Solid rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +15.88pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 24,893; 22th largest electorate in Espírito Santo
Side changes: 4; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Espírito Santo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Baixo Guandu+15.15 pts
Espírito Santo+12.74 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)57.57% Lula (PT)42.43%	+15.15 pts	Right bloc	78.32%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)56.90% Lula (PT)37.16% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.44% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.00% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.04% Zema (NOVO)0.26% Samara (UP)0.06% Clariana Barao (DC)0.04% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.04% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%	+20.50 pts	Right bloc	77.31%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)57.06% Lula (PT)42.94%	+14.12 pts	Right bloc	77.51%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)51.72% Lula (PT)42.75% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.63% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.29% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.26% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.23% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.01%	+9.83 pts	Right bloc	77.84%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)64.25% Fernando Haddad (PT)35.75%	+28.49 pts	Right bloc	76.03%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)57.22% Fernando Haddad (PT)27.48% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.34% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.82% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.31% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.12% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.87% Marina Silva (REDE)0.76% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.76% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.20% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (DC)0.03% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	+30.29 pts	Right bloc	79.48%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)51.78% Aécio Neves (PSDB)48.22%	−3.57 pts	Left bloc	86.12%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)43.65% Aécio Neves (PSDB)33.96% Marina Silva (PSB)19.94% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.88% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.57% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.46% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.38% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02%	−29.44 pts	Left bloc	88.09%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)58.33% Dilma (PT)41.67%	+16.66 pts	Right bloc	74.44%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)48.82% Dilma (PT)36.34% Marina Silva (PV)14.00% Plínio (PSOL)0.62% +5 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−2.10 pts	Left bloc	78.25%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)66.53% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)33.47%	−33.07 pts	Left bloc	79.43%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.94% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)37.12% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)3.97% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.45% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.49% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.02% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	−24.72 pts	Left bloc	82.76%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.57% José Serra (PSDB)44.43%	−11.15 pts	Left bloc	73.74%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)41.93% Garotinho (PSB)26.18% José Serra (PSDB)23.22% Ciro (PPS)7.88% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.74% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	−53.56 pts	Left bloc	79.53%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)71.71% Lula (PT)13.28% Ciro Gomes (PPS)9.94% Enéas (PRONA)1.74% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.83% Sirkis (PV)0.51% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.45% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.37% Eymael (PSDC)0.33% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.31% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.31% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.21%	+49.34 pts	Right bloc	77.12%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)73.24% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)13.69% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)6.82% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.42% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.66% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.62% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.31% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.24%	+71.38 pts	Right bloc	82.08%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2014(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Colatina immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.