ES · Colatina immediate region

Pancas: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Pancas with 54.14% of valid votes against 45.86% for Lula: a margin of 8.27 points, 11.84 points right of Brazil.

Lean rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +6.49pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 15,872; 38th largest electorate in Espírito Santo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Espírito Santo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Pancas+8.27 pts
Espírito Santo+12.74 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.14% Lula (PT)45.86%	+8.27 pts	Right bloc	74.73%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.52% Lula (PT)41.51% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.98% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.45% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.26% Zema (NOVO)0.14% Clariana Barao (DC)0.06% Samara (UP)0.06% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.01% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+12.87 pts	Right bloc	72.83%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)53.72% Lula (PT)46.28%	+7.45 pts	Right bloc	70.73%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)48.61% Lula (PT)45.92% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.89% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.79% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.44% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.20% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Léo Péricles (UP)0.05% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	+4.43 pts	Right bloc	70.26%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)54.55% Fernando Haddad (PT)45.45%	+9.10 pts	Right bloc	68.72%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)50.00% Fernando Haddad (PT)37.16% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.61% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.12% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.25% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.89% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.77% Marina Silva (REDE)0.45% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.40% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.28% Eymael (DC)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.01%	+12.95 pts	Right bloc	71.65%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)55.59% Aécio Neves (PSDB)44.41%	−11.19 pts	Left bloc	71.63%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)49.39% Aécio Neves (PSDB)36.55% Marina Silva (PSB)12.62% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.57% +7 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.33% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.22% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.18% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−25.01 pts	Left bloc	75.18%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)54.87% José Serra (PSDB)45.13%	−9.74 pts	Left bloc	72.13%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)50.67% José Serra (PSDB)37.86% Marina Silva (PV)10.47% Plínio (PSOL)0.75% +4 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.12% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.01%	−23.94 pts	Left bloc	75.64%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)70.59% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)29.41%	−41.18 pts	Left bloc	71.24%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)62.11% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)32.06% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.46% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.11% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.21% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	−35.35 pts	Left bloc	73.97%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)56.65% José Serra (PSDB)43.35%	−13.31 pts	Left bloc	66.32%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)42.32% Garotinho (PSB)28.36% José Serra (PSDB)22.76% Ciro (PPS)6.07% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.45% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−54.48 pts	Left bloc	74.89%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)73.88% Lula (PT)15.04% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.74% Enéas (PRONA)1.01% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.79% Sirkis (PV)0.47% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.47% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.39% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.36% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.33% Eymael (PSDC)0.28% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.23%	+52.30 pts	Right bloc	70.78%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)66.83% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)24.31% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.08% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.05% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.11% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.66% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.53% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.43%	+50.31 pts	Right bloc	74.70%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Colatina immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.