MG · Caxambu - Baependi immediate region

Aiuruoca: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Aiuruoca with 51.84% of valid votes against 48.16% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 3.69 points, 0.12 points left of Brazil.

Toss-upSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −2.05pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 4,840; 610th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 3 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Aiuruoca−3.69 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.84% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.16%	−3.69 pts	Left bloc	81.78%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)46.35% Lula (PT)45.48% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.09% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.07% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.01% Zema (NOVO)0.57% Samara (UP)0.26% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.09% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.06% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+2.07 pts	Right bloc	78.38%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.82% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.18%	−7.63 pts	Left bloc	78.43%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)51.52% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)41.59% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.55% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.72% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)1.08% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.40% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.05% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−6.65 pts	Left bloc	76.22%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)54.98% Fernando Haddad (PT)45.02%	+9.95 pts	Right bloc	71.34%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)46.49% Fernando Haddad (PT)26.80% Ciro Gomes (PDT)10.48% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)9.89% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.50% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.03% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.69% Marina Silva (REDE)0.62% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.62% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.56% Vera (PSTU)0.16% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.12% Eymael (DC)0.03%	+22.25 pts	Right bloc	71.69%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)52.61% Aécio Neves (PSDB)47.39%	−5.22 pts	Left bloc	75.22%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)48.19% Dilma (PT)43.63% Marina Silva (PSB)5.61% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.99% +6 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.59% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.40% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.37% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.14% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.06% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−2.10 pts	Left bloc	74.80%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)51.47% José Serra (PSDB)48.53%	−2.94 pts	Left bloc	75.22%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)45.29% José Serra (PSDB)40.43% Marina Silva (PV)13.06% Plínio (PSOL)0.97% +4 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.11% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	−18.86 pts	Left bloc	76.87%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.42% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)46.58%	−6.84 pts	Left bloc	76.39%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)53.49% Lula (PT)40.96% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.08% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.29% +3 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.06%	+7.34 pts	Right bloc	78.71%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.19% José Serra (PSDB)44.81%	−10.39 pts	Left bloc	77.46%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.46% José Serra (PSDB)41.67% Garotinho (PSB)5.57% Ciro (PPS)5.45% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.85%	−16.66 pts	Left bloc	81.05%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)63.01% Lula (PT)19.45% Ciro Gomes (PPS)9.48% Enéas (PRONA)2.70% +8 more Sirkis (PV)1.21% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.99% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.89% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.82% Eymael (PSDC)0.53% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.50% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.32% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.11%	+34.33 pts	Right bloc	81.70%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)75.22% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)15.60% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.54% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.43% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.76% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.59% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.45% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.42%	+67.90 pts	Right bloc	86.97%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Caxambu - Baependi immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.