MG · Santa Bárbara - Ouro Preto immediate region

Barão de Cocais: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Barão de Cocais with 55.45% of valid votes against 44.55% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 10.90 points, 7.33 points left of Brazil.

Lean leftSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −7.43pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 24,124; 118th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Barão de Cocais−10.90 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.45% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)44.55%	−10.90 pts	Left bloc	82.37%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)44.71% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)44.00% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)5.27% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.37% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.22% Zema (NOVO)1.09% Samara (UP)0.15% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.08% Clariana Barao (DC)0.06% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.05% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−0.44 pts	Left bloc	79.47%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)57.19% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)42.81%	−14.37 pts	Left bloc	81.09%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.48% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)35.74% Simone Tebet (MDB)5.12% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.30% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.65% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.49% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.09% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.04% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	−15.79 pts	Left bloc	79.98%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)54.25% Fernando Haddad (PT)45.75%	+8.50 pts	Right bloc	79.26%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)42.27% Fernando Haddad (PT)28.68% Ciro Gomes (PDT)14.16% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.57% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.40% Marina Silva (REDE)1.29% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.18% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.14% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.70% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.47% Eymael (DC)0.06% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.04%	+10.16 pts	Right bloc	79.69%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)53.50% Aécio Neves (PSDB)46.50%	−6.99 pts	Left bloc	81.89%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)43.61% Dilma (PT)41.07% Marina Silva (PSB)12.39% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.33% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.46% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.43% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.32% Eymael (PSDC)0.22% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.11% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−10.83 pts	Left bloc	82.98%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)65.76% José Serra (PSDB)34.24%	−31.53 pts	Left bloc	81.08%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)53.13% José Serra (PSDB)23.93% Marina Silva (PV)21.62% Plínio (PSOL)0.90% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.22% Eymael (PSDC)0.10% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−51.51 pts	Left bloc	82.96%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)79.73% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)20.27%	−59.47 pts	Left bloc	84.20%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)64.73% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)28.05% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.97% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.94% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.14% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.11% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05%	−43.28 pts	Left bloc	85.48%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)87.04% José Serra (PSDB)12.96%	−74.09 pts	Left bloc	84.45%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)79.20% José Serra (PSDB)9.72% Garotinho (PSB)6.59% Ciro (PPS)4.15% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.30% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−80.57 pts	Left bloc	86.53%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Lula (PT)58.68% Fernando Henrique (PSDB)26.32% Ciro Gomes (PPS)9.73% Enéas (PRONA)2.29% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.63% Eymael (PSDC)0.50% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.38% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.37% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.35% Sirkis (PV)0.27% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.25% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.22%	−40.10 pts	Left bloc	83.70%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)48.53% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)37.36% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)7.54% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.68% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.06% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.89% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.55% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.39%	+24.18 pts	Right bloc	87.82%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Santa Bárbara - Ouro Preto immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.