50mais1

MG · Santa Bárbara - Ouro Preto immediate region

Itabirito: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Itabirito with 52.49% of valid votes against 47.51% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 4.97 points, 1.40 points left of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing
Lean versus Brazil
+1.50pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
45,013
61th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes
3
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Has voted for the national winner since 2018.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Itabirito−4.97 pts
  • Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)52.49%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.51%
−4.97 ptsLeft bloc79.73%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)45.57%
  • Lula (PT)41.04%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)5.54%
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)3.16%
+8 more
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.92%
  • Zema (NOVO)1.38%
  • Samara (UP)0.24%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.06%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.04%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
+6.21 ptsRight bloc78.15%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)54.73%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)45.27%
−9.46 ptsLeft bloc81.05%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)50.27%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)37.32%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)6.92%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.92%
+7 more
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.85%
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.45%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.11%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.09%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.01%
−8.70 ptsLeft bloc80.56%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)59.81%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)40.19%
+19.62 ptsRight bloc80.94%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)45.91%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)18.61%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)17.28%
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)6.53%
+9 more
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)5.92%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)1.65%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.51%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.09%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.80%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.49%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.11%
  • Eymael (DC)0.05%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04%
+23.03 ptsRight bloc81.86%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)60.78%
  • Dilma (PT)39.22%
+21.56 ptsRight bloc83.63%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)51.68%
  • Dilma (PT)30.08%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)14.91%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.58%
+7 more
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.70%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.53%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.20%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.20%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
+5.24 ptsRight bloc84.86%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)54.15%
  • José Serra (PSDB)45.85%
−8.30 ptsLeft bloc84.39%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)40.55%
  • José Serra (PSDB)33.77%
  • Marina Silva (PV)24.67%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.71%
+5 more
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.10%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.10%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
−32.17 ptsLeft bloc86.80%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)62.41%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)37.59%
−24.83 ptsLeft bloc87.16%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)45.12%
  • Lula (PT)41.22%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)9.33%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)4.12%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.12%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03%
−9.35 ptsLeft bloc88.36%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)81.09%
  • José Serra (PSDB)18.91%
−62.18 ptsLeft bloc88.87%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)68.73%
  • José Serra (PSDB)14.34%
  • Garotinho (PSB)8.72%
  • Ciro (PPS)7.78%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.37%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%
−71.31 ptsLeft bloc90.27%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)38.64%
  • Lula (PT)38.21%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)17.27%
  • Enéas (PRONA)2.89%
+8 more
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.50%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.45%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.43%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.40%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.38%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.37%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.24%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.22%
−14.17 ptsLeft bloc88.75%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)58.66%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)25.07%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)9.37%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.28%
+4 more
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.52%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.00%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.63%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.46%
+47.85 ptsRight bloc90.19%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Santa Bárbara - Ouro Preto immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.