MG · Itabira immediate region

Carmésia: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Carmésia with 62.09% of valid votes against 37.91% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 24.18 points, 20.61 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −18.72pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 2,715; 823th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Carmésia−24.18 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)62.09% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)37.91%	−24.18 pts	Left bloc	74.73%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.61% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)36.33% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)4.99% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.11% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.25% Zema (NOVO)0.60% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.05% Samara (UP)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−19.31 pts	Left bloc	71.65%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)61.66% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)38.34%	−23.33 pts	Left bloc	76.61%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)60.36% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)33.29% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.23% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.64% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)1.29% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.18% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−24.37 pts	Left bloc	74.93%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)53.03% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)46.97%	−6.06 pts	Left bloc	68.73%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)37.99% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)33.47% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)19.21% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.45% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.62% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.34% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.71% Marina Silva (REDE)0.49% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.42% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.14% Eymael (DC)0.07% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.07% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	+13.14 pts	Right bloc	70.40%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)55.43% Aécio Neves (PSDB)44.57%	−10.85 pts	Left bloc	71.97%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)48.86% Dilma (PT)42.81% Marina Silva (PSB)7.85% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.14% +4 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.14% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.07%	−2.00 pts	Left bloc	73.62%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)72.57% José Serra (PSDB)27.43%	−45.14 pts	Left bloc	72.51%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)61.81% José Serra (PSDB)22.86% Marina Silva (PV)14.43% Plínio (PSOL)0.48% +2 more Eymael (PSDC)0.28% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.14%	−53.45 pts	Left bloc	75.83%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)79.31% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)20.69%	−58.62 pts	Left bloc	81.87%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)66.84% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)29.23% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.93% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.63% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.30% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.07%	−40.80 pts	Left bloc	84.80%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)72.64% José Serra (PSDB)27.36%	−45.29 pts	Left bloc	72.72%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)58.49% José Serra (PSDB)25.79% Garotinho (PSB)9.08% Ciro (PPS)6.54% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09%	−48.41 pts	Left bloc	73.10%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)79.60% Lula (PT)12.24% Ciro Gomes (PPS)2.51% Enéas (PRONA)1.57% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)1.15% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.84% Eymael (PSDC)0.63% Sirkis (PV)0.63% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.31% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.31% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.10% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.10%	+64.64 pts	Right bloc	78.98%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)78.78% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)12.66% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.52% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.81% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.70% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.59% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.47% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.47%	+73.74 pts	Right bloc	88.09%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Itabira immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.