50mais1

MG · Itabira immediate region

Itabira: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Itabira with 55.35% of valid votes against 44.65% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 10.69 points, 7.12 points left of Brazil.

Lean leftSwingBellwether
Lean versus Brazil
−3.41pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
88,427
24th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes
3
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
Yes
Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Itabira−10.69 pts
  • Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)55.35%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)44.65%
−10.69 ptsLeft bloc84.64%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)45.78%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)43.86%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)4.36%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.36%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.20%
  • Zema (NOVO)1.14%
  • Samara (UP)0.14%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.06%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.04%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
−0.72 ptsLeft bloc81.95%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)53.77%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.23%
−7.54 ptsLeft bloc82.87%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)50.16%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)38.96%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)6.39%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.11%
+7 more
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.70%
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.45%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.09%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.06%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.04%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.03%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%
−6.80 ptsLeft bloc81.98%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)58.21%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)41.79%
+16.41 ptsRight bloc80.49%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)47.84%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)25.87%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)11.77%
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)5.11%
+9 more
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)4.52%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)1.28%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.26%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.19%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.54%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.43%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.10%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04%
  • Eymael (DC)0.04%
+20.79 ptsRight bloc80.52%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)52.00%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)48.00%
−3.99 ptsLeft bloc82.82%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)42.57%
  • Dilma (PT)37.73%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)17.33%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.04%
+7 more
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.52%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.45%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.19%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.03%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−13.49 ptsLeft bloc83.44%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)62.90%
  • José Serra (PSDB)37.10%
−25.80 ptsLeft bloc82.63%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)42.44%
  • Marina Silva (PV)33.76%
  • José Serra (PSDB)22.80%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.64%
+5 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.11%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.11%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.09%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
−54.02 ptsLeft bloc85.01%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)70.82%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)29.18%
−41.64 ptsLeft bloc84.77%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)50.35%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)39.46%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)6.88%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)3.11%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.11%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%
−20.68 ptsLeft bloc86.50%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)81.79%
  • José Serra (PSDB)18.21%
−63.59 ptsLeft bloc85.40%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)64.22%
  • Garotinho (PSB)13.06%
  • José Serra (PSDB)12.24%
  • Ciro (PPS)9.98%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.44%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.06%
−75.52 ptsLeft bloc87.27%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)39.01%
  • Lula (PT)32.41%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)24.65%
  • Enéas (PRONA)2.39%
+8 more
  • Sirkis (PV)0.41%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.41%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.23%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.13%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.13%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.10%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.09%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.04%
−15.66 ptsLeft bloc85.29%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)44.41%
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)40.97%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)8.24%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.99%
+4 more
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.14%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.93%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.83%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.49%
+9.31 ptsRight bloc89.15%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2014(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Itabira immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.