MG · Monte Carmelo immediate region

Grupiara: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Grupiara with 54.62% of valid votes against 45.38% for Lula: a margin of 9.25 points, 12.82 points right of Brazil.

Likely rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +14.44pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 1,789; 851th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Grupiara+9.25 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.62% Lula (PT)45.38%	+9.25 pts	Right bloc	80.77%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.38% Lula (PT)39.42% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.05% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.62% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.09% Zema (NOVO)0.36% Samara (UP)0.07% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+14.91 pts	Right bloc	79.43%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)59.40% Lula (PT)40.60%	+18.80 pts	Right bloc	82.11%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)47.83% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.07% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.37% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.28% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.96% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.40% Léo Péricles (UP)0.08% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	+1.61 pts	Right bloc	78.81%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)59.72% Fernando Haddad (PT)40.28%	+19.44 pts	Right bloc	75.93%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)55.00% Fernando Haddad (PT)30.11% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)5.83% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.40% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.91% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.52% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.35% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.35% Marina Silva (REDE)0.26% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.26% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+27.94 pts	Right bloc	77.20%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)54.83% Dilma (PT)45.17%	+9.67 pts	Right bloc	76.99%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)53.62% Dilma (PT)35.89% Marina Silva (PSB)8.91% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.79% +2 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.71% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.09%	+8.64 pts	Right bloc	80.80%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)51.86% José Serra (PSDB)48.14%	−3.72 pts	Left bloc	78.07%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)45.44% José Serra (PSDB)39.12% Marina Silva (PV)14.74% Plínio (PSOL)0.61% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09%	−21.75 pts	Left bloc	82.56%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.79% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)48.21%	−3.57 pts	Left bloc	79.47%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)55.59% Lula (PT)40.00% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.91% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.31% +2 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.09% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.09%	+11.55 pts	Right bloc	83.06%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.67% José Serra (PSDB)47.33%	−5.35 pts	Left bloc	78.71%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)37.87% Ciro (PPS)28.38% José Serra (PSDB)21.33% Garotinho (PSB)12.33% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.10%	−57.34 pts	Left bloc	85.93%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)44.19% Lula (PT)31.63% Ciro Gomes (PPS)17.91% Enéas (PRONA)3.02% +7 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.70% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.58% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.58% Eymael (PSDC)0.47% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.35% Sirkis (PV)0.35% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.23%	−3.02 pts	Left bloc	81.72%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)72.33% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)18.48% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.17% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.10% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.85% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.64% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.21% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.21%	+61.32 pts	Right bloc	90.02%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Monte Carmelo immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.