MG · Monte Carmelo immediate region

Monte Carmelo: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Monte Carmelo with 50.83% of valid votes against 49.17% for Lula: a margin of 1.65 points, 5.22 points right of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −1.96pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 35,706; 76th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 4; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Monte Carmelo+1.65 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)50.83% Lula (PT)49.17%	+1.65 pts	Right bloc	81.18%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)50.12% Lula (PT)41.98% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.84% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.77% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.54% Zema (NOVO)0.60% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.05% Samara (UP)0.04% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+10.28 pts	Right bloc	77.18%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.73% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)48.27%	−3.45 pts	Left bloc	79.41%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)51.14% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)42.29% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.78% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.56% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.74% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.33% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	−5.56 pts	Left bloc	77.13%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)53.10% Fernando Haddad (PT)46.90%	+6.20 pts	Right bloc	75.81%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)45.07% Fernando Haddad (PT)33.48% Ciro Gomes (PDT)9.88% João Amoêdo (NOVO)4.74% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.64% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.86% Marina Silva (REDE)0.71% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.57% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.43% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.34% Vera (PSTU)0.19% Eymael (DC)0.06% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	+10.75 pts	Right bloc	76.08%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)65.33% Aécio Neves (PSDB)34.67%	−30.67 pts	Left bloc	78.53%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)56.90% Aécio Neves (PSDB)27.74% Marina Silva (PSB)12.39% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.27% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.66% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.41% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.40% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.18% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02% Eymael (PSDC)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−42.80 pts	Left bloc	77.41%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)69.61% José Serra (PSDB)30.39%	−39.21 pts	Left bloc	79.11%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)63.03% José Serra (PSDB)24.40% Marina Silva (PV)11.42% Plínio (PSOL)0.88% +5 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.17% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.01%	−51.02 pts	Left bloc	81.27%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)64.38% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)35.62%	−28.76 pts	Left bloc	80.49%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)51.89% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)42.71% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.67% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.60% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.07% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	−14.33 pts	Left bloc	83.07%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)68.23% José Serra (PSDB)31.77%	−36.47 pts	Left bloc	81.51%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)53.89% José Serra (PSDB)25.10% Garotinho (PSB)10.24% Ciro (PPS)10.19% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.55% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−49.79 pts	Left bloc	83.87%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)56.52% Lula (PT)27.05% Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.81% Enéas (PRONA)2.24% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.81% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.51% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.47% Sirkis (PV)0.41% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.37% Eymael (PSDC)0.31% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.26% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.24%	+19.89 pts	Right bloc	84.50%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)65.95% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)23.03% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.25% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.97% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.07% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.86% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.50% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.37%	+52.22 pts	Right bloc	86.19%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Monte Carmelo immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.