MG · Oliveira immediate region

Oliveira: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Oliveira with 50.38% of valid votes against 49.62% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 0.76 points, 2.81 points right of Brazil.

Likely rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +8.16pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 33,499; 83th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 3 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2026.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Oliveira−0.76 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.38% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)49.62%	−0.76 pts	Left bloc	80.12%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)49.14% Lula (PT)41.76% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.37% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.39% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.02% Zema (NOVO)1.11% Samara (UP)0.11% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01%	+9.40 pts	Right bloc	78.02%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)50.32% Lula (PT)49.68%	+0.64 pts	Right bloc	80.97%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)47.67% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)42.35% Simone Tebet (MDB)5.27% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.23% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.91% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.43% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02%	−1.91 pts	Left bloc	80.15%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)63.70% Fernando Haddad (PT)36.30%	+27.41 pts	Right bloc	78.99%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)53.00% Fernando Haddad (PT)17.76% Ciro Gomes (PDT)12.48% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)7.60% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)5.54% Marina Silva (REDE)1.06% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.91% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.55% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.52% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.48% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (DC)0.03% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03%	+36.24 pts	Right bloc	80.62%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)62.75% Dilma (PT)37.25%	+25.50 pts	Right bloc	81.38%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)54.78% Dilma (PT)29.39% Marina Silva (PSB)13.29% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.45% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.45% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.31% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.20% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+10.66 pts	Right bloc	83.13%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)50.64% Dilma (PT)49.36%	+1.28 pts	Right bloc	82.32%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)39.16% Dilma (PT)37.76% Marina Silva (PV)22.15% Plínio (PSOL)0.58% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.16% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−21.25 pts	Left bloc	84.15%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)56.74% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)43.26%	−13.47 pts	Left bloc	83.48%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)52.02% Lula (PT)38.26% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)6.39% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)3.07% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.15% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%	+4.55 pts	Right bloc	85.25%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)64.31% José Serra (PSDB)35.69%	−28.62 pts	Left bloc	85.32%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)52.36% José Serra (PSDB)29.44% Ciro (PPS)9.56% Garotinho (PSB)8.13% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.45% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.06%	−41.13 pts	Left bloc	87.34%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)58.95% Lula (PT)22.04% Ciro Gomes (PPS)13.10% Enéas (PRONA)2.91% +8 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.50% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.45% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.42% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.41% Eymael (PSDC)0.39% Sirkis (PV)0.31% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.29% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.22%	+26.43 pts	Right bloc	86.59%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)77.03% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)12.58% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.37% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.12% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.00% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.87% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.60% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.43%	+73.10 pts	Right bloc	89.20%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2026(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Oliveira immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.