MG · Oliveira immediate region

Rio Manso: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Rio Manso with 52.60% of valid votes against 47.40% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 5.21 points, 1.64 points left of Brazil.

Lean leftSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −4.95pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 5,025; 594th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Rio Manso−5.21 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.60% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.40%	−5.21 pts	Left bloc	81.95%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)44.42% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)43.94% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)5.92% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)3.16% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.73% Zema (NOVO)0.74% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03% Samara (UP)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−0.85 pts	Left bloc	78.83%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)56.40% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)43.60%	−12.81 pts	Left bloc	81.85%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.72% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)36.63% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.90% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.67% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.61% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.30% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.14% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−14.84 pts	Left bloc	80.88%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)54.87% Fernando Haddad (PT)45.13%	+9.74 pts	Right bloc	80.58%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)44.06% Fernando Haddad (PT)30.48% Ciro Gomes (PDT)14.75% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)4.99% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.29% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.65% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.55% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.46% Marina Silva (REDE)0.34% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.31% Vera (PSTU)0.12% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+7.70 pts	Right bloc	81.30%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)56.08% Aécio Neves (PSDB)43.92%	−12.15 pts	Left bloc	83.30%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)50.25% Aécio Neves (PSDB)39.11% Marina Silva (PSB)8.82% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.68% +6 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.53% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.44% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03%	−20.60 pts	Left bloc	85.04%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)69.13% José Serra (PSDB)30.87%	−38.27 pts	Left bloc	83.68%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)58.62% José Serra (PSDB)21.68% Marina Silva (PV)19.28% Plínio (PSOL)0.26% +4 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03%	−56.51 pts	Left bloc	86.21%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)66.65% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)33.35%	−33.31 pts	Left bloc	85.58%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.91% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)44.43% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.53% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.77% +3 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.22% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.11% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04%	−10.41 pts	Left bloc	87.64%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)69.19% José Serra (PSDB)30.81%	−38.37 pts	Left bloc	90.06%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.98% José Serra (PSDB)32.32% Garotinho (PSB)11.11% Ciro (PPS)6.51% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08%	−35.35 pts	Left bloc	91.77%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)64.07% Lula (PT)17.75% Ciro Gomes (PPS)11.11% Enéas (PRONA)2.50% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)1.97% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.53% Eymael (PSDC)0.53% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.48% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.43% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.24% Sirkis (PV)0.24% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.14%	+35.83 pts	Right bloc	79.59%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)75.71% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)14.66% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.67% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.46% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.87% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.61% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.56% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.46%	+69.45 pts	Right bloc	81.62%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Oliveira immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.