MG · Juiz de Fora immediate region

Paiva: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Paiva with 63.05% of valid votes against 36.95% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 26.09 points, 22.52 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −26.16pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 1,859; 850th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Paiva−26.09 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)63.05% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)36.95%	−26.09 pts	Left bloc	79.56%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.83% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)35.66% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)5.92% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.90% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.48% Zema (NOVO)0.14% Clariana Barao (DC)0.07% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	−21.49 pts	Left bloc	80.42%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)66.31% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)33.69%	−32.62 pts	Left bloc	79.32%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)63.82% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)27.87% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.49% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.30% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.37% Vera (PSTU)0.07% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.07% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−34.38 pts	Left bloc	79.65%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)61.29% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)38.71%	−22.59 pts	Left bloc	75.59%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)40.70% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)28.01% Ciro Gomes (PDT)18.92% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)5.41% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)4.26% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.98% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.74% Marina Silva (REDE)0.33% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.33% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.33% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	−20.56 pts	Left bloc	79.69%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)58.31% Aécio Neves (PSDB)41.69%	−16.62 pts	Left bloc	79.20%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)45.65% Aécio Neves (PSDB)43.46% Marina Silva (PSB)9.20% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.84% +4 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.34% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.25% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.17% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.08%	−12.74 pts	Left bloc	82.41%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)67.49% José Serra (PSDB)32.51%	−34.99 pts	Left bloc	78.89%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)56.08% José Serra (PSDB)24.31% Marina Silva (PV)18.81% Plínio (PSOL)0.71% +1 more Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.09%	−51.38 pts	Left bloc	83.29%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)81.01% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)18.99%	−62.02 pts	Left bloc	85.74%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)67.47% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)23.06% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)5.81% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)3.40% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.18% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.09%	−53.35 pts	Left bloc	88.68%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)73.96% José Serra (PSDB)26.04%	−47.93 pts	Left bloc	81.56%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)59.16% José Serra (PSDB)18.72% Ciro (PPS)10.51% Garotinho (PSB)10.11% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)1.20% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.30%	−62.56 pts	Left bloc	85.68%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)47.08% Lula (PT)33.61% Ciro Gomes (PPS)12.75% Enéas (PRONA)2.38% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.95% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.83% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.48% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.48% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.48% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.48% Eymael (PSDC)0.24% Sirkis (PV)0.24%	+2.98 pts	Right bloc	87.39%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)72.57% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)15.85% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)4.93% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.66% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.80% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.53% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.40% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.27%	+67.51 pts	Right bloc	93.28%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Juiz de Fora immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.