MG · Ubá immediate region

Tocantins: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Tocantins with 52.05% of valid votes against 47.95% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 4.11 points, 0.54 points left of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −1.61pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 12,647; 237th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2006.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

Loading municipalities…

Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Tocantins−4.11 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.05% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.95%	−4.11 pts	Left bloc	86.11%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.22% Lula (PT)45.75% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.14% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.70% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.58% Zema (NOVO)0.45% Samara (UP)0.08% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.05% Clariana Barao (DC)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+1.96 pts	Right bloc	83.27%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.93% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)47.07%	−5.85 pts	Left bloc	81.65%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)51.83% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)41.19% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.35% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.13% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.72% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.48% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.23% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−8.01 pts	Left bloc	80.34%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)56.87% Fernando Haddad (PT)43.13%	+13.75 pts	Right bloc	79.12%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)48.53% Fernando Haddad (PT)27.42% Ciro Gomes (PDT)9.95% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)7.11% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)4.52% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.73% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.55% Marina Silva (REDE)0.49% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.35% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.27% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04% Eymael (DC)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	+23.63 pts	Right bloc	80.13%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)56.02% Aécio Neves (PSDB)43.98%	−12.04 pts	Left bloc	82.66%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)46.16% Aécio Neves (PSDB)37.59% Marina Silva (PSB)14.06% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.87% +6 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.68% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.29% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.27% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02%	−22.85 pts	Left bloc	83.25%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)54.95% José Serra (PSDB)45.05%	−9.90 pts	Left bloc	83.02%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)48.89% José Serra (PSDB)39.35% Marina Silva (PV)11.05% Plínio (PSOL)0.49% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−21.02 pts	Left bloc	84.33%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)60.65% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)39.35%	−21.30 pts	Left bloc	84.81%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.52% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)45.08% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.70% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.60% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.06% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04%	−9.63 pts	Left bloc	85.85%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)53.05% Lula (PT)46.95%	+6.11 pts	Right bloc	84.35%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)42.28% José Serra (PSDB)32.26% Garotinho (PSB)15.48% Ciro (PPS)9.29% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.61% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.08%	−35.48 pts	Left bloc	85.33%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)53.65% Lula (PT)29.33% Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.68% Enéas (PRONA)2.79% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.60% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.57% Eymael (PSDC)0.47% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.44% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.42% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.36% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.35% Sirkis (PV)0.35%	+16.10 pts	Right bloc	81.65%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)64.31% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)21.57% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)6.29% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)4.52% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.33% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.10% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.52% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.36%	+54.19 pts	Right bloc	83.76%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Ubá immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.