MG · Ubá immediate region

Ubá: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Ubá with 52.09% of valid votes against 47.91% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 4.17 points, 0.60 points left of Brazil.

Toss-upSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −0.20pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 71,561; 33th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Ubá−4.17 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.09% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.91%	−4.17 pts	Left bloc	80.50%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.54% Lula (PT)44.61% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.07% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.30% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.56% Zema (NOVO)0.77% Samara (UP)0.07% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01%	+4.43 pts	Right bloc	77.47%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.31% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)48.69%	−2.61 pts	Left bloc	80.93%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.90% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)42.75% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.41% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.47% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.88% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.42% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02%	−4.90 pts	Left bloc	79.78%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)58.91% Fernando Haddad (PT)41.09%	+17.81 pts	Right bloc	79.11%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)50.20% Fernando Haddad (PT)24.16% Ciro Gomes (PDT)12.50% João Amoêdo (NOVO)5.35% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.66% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.10% Marina Silva (REDE)0.87% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.80% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.70% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.51% Vera (PSTU)0.07% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04% Eymael (DC)0.04%	+23.70 pts	Right bloc	80.05%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)57.77% Aécio Neves (PSDB)42.23%	−15.55 pts	Left bloc	81.61%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)43.48% Aécio Neves (PSDB)35.02% Marina Silva (PSB)18.27% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.30% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.71% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.66% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.39% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−27.67 pts	Left bloc	81.61%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)68.83% José Serra (PSDB)31.17%	−37.66 pts	Left bloc	83.38%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)58.64% José Serra (PSDB)22.25% Marina Silva (PV)18.03% Plínio (PSOL)0.82% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.09% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−55.20 pts	Left bloc	85.04%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)79.58% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)20.42%	−59.17 pts	Left bloc	85.26%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)67.12% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)25.31% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.84% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.56% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.08% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	−49.04 pts	Left bloc	86.46%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)74.07% José Serra (PSDB)25.93%	−48.14 pts	Left bloc	85.75%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)62.20% José Serra (PSDB)16.19% Garotinho (PSB)11.97% Ciro (PPS)8.95% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.60% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.10%	−67.62 pts	Left bloc	86.65%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)53.78% Lula (PT)29.84% Ciro Gomes (PPS)13.85% Enéas (PRONA)1.42% +8 more Vasco Neto (PSN)0.44% Sirkis (PV)0.19% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.15% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.10% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.08% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.07% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	+11.73 pts	Right bloc	82.60%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)61.95% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)24.67% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)7.07% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.79% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.53% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.02% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.59% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.38%	+47.60 pts	Right bloc	86.42%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Ubá immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.