MG · Salinas immediate region

Vargem Grande do Rio Pardo: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Vargem Grande do Rio Pardo with 51.37% of valid votes against 48.63% for Lula: a margin of 2.74 points, 6.31 points right of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +2.06pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 4,201; 678th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 8 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Vargem Grande do Rio Pardo+2.74 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)51.37% Lula (PT)48.63%	+2.74 pts	Right bloc	77.74%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.85% Lula (PT)44.60% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.22% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.52% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.47% Zema (NOVO)0.29% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Samara (UP)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+4.24 pts	Right bloc	77.76%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)52.06% Lula (PT)47.94%	+4.11 pts	Right bloc	75.84%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.68% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)45.42% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.30% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.20% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)1.10% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.27% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	+0.17 pts	Right bloc	74.98%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)53.24% Fernando Haddad (PT)46.76%	+6.47 pts	Right bloc	73.18%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)43.56% Fernando Haddad (PT)37.10% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)8.79% João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.90% +9 more Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.72% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.06% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.62% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.58% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.36% Marina Silva (REDE)0.18% Vera (PSTU)0.07% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04% Eymael (DC)0.00%	+17.04 pts	Right bloc	72.88%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)59.04% Aécio Neves (PSDB)40.96%	−18.08 pts	Left bloc	74.39%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)57.31% Aécio Neves (PSDB)37.98% Marina Silva (PSB)3.79% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.40% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.29% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.11% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.04%	−22.64 pts	Left bloc	76.87%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)63.21% José Serra (PSDB)36.79%	−26.41 pts	Left bloc	77.81%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)59.01% José Serra (PSDB)34.13% Marina Silva (PV)6.53% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.08% +5 more Plínio (PSOL)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04%	−31.57 pts	Left bloc	80.20%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.11% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)44.89%	−10.22 pts	Left bloc	75.96%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)52.45% Lula (PT)44.16% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.05% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)0.96% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.34% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04%	+5.66 pts	Right bloc	77.82%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)80.96% Lula (PT)19.04%	+61.91 pts	Right bloc	73.45%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)78.66% Lula (PT)17.38% Ciro (PPS)2.67% Garotinho (PSB)1.03% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.21% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	+57.33 pts	Right bloc	76.90%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)90.18% Lula (PT)2.33% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.94% Ciro Gomes (PPS)1.72% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.83% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.72% Sirkis (PV)0.61% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.44% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.33% Enéas (PRONA)0.33% Eymael (PSDC)0.28% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.28%	+83.69 pts	Right bloc	79.50%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Salinas immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.