MS · Nova Andradina immediate region

Ivinhema: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Ivinhema with 63.77% of valid votes against 36.23% for Lula: a margin of 27.54 points, 31.11 points right of Brazil.

Solid rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +24.12pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 21,197; 19th largest electorate in Mato Grosso do Sul
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Mato Grosso do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Ivinhema+27.54 pts
Mato Grosso do Sul+19.20 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)63.77% Lula (PT)36.23%	+27.54 pts	Right bloc	79.24%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)62.82% Lula (PT)31.02% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.52% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.08% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.24% Zema (NOVO)0.15% Clariana Barao (DC)0.07% Samara (UP)0.06% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00%	+32.77 pts	Right bloc	73.74%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)61.37% Lula (PT)38.63%	+22.75 pts	Right bloc	78.50%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)55.21% Lula (PT)38.28% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.20% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.55% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.41% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.26% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.01% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	+20.29 pts	Right bloc	77.66%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)64.69% Fernando Haddad (PT)35.31%	+29.37 pts	Right bloc	77.07%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)55.32% Fernando Haddad (PT)25.73% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.93% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.59% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.72% Alvaro Dias (PODE)1.30% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.20% Marina Silva (REDE)0.46% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.40% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.28% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (DC)0.03% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.01%	+33.80 pts	Right bloc	78.19%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)50.82% Dilma (PT)49.18%	+1.64 pts	Right bloc	80.15%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)44.93% Aécio Neves (PSDB)40.79% Marina Silva (PSB)13.35% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.33% +7 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.22% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.18% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.12% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Eymael (PSDC)0.01% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.01%	−17.61 pts	Left bloc	83.46%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)54.08% Dilma (PT)45.92%	+8.16 pts	Right bloc	84.53%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)47.57% Dilma (PT)41.31% Marina Silva (PV)10.18% Plínio (PSOL)0.55% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.23% Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−4.26 pts	Left bloc	89.15%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)59.73% Lula (PT)40.27%	+19.47 pts	Right bloc	75.90%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)61.67% Lula (PT)32.11% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.25% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.77% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.13% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	+23.75 pts	Right bloc	80.00%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)52.29% Lula (PT)47.71%	+4.58 pts	Right bloc	74.52%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)35.01% José Serra (PSDB)31.33% Garotinho (PSB)17.06% Ciro (PPS)16.00% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.59% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−37.34 pts	Left bloc	78.45%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)70.95% Lula (PT)18.04% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.55% Enéas (PRONA)1.46% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.61% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.48% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.45% Sirkis (PV)0.41% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.39% Eymael (PSDC)0.35% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.23% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.07%	+46.91 pts	Right bloc	74.34%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)70.53% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)18.99% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)4.21% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.65% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.23% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.61% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.59% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.19%	+60.79 pts	Right bloc	78.36%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2014(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Nova Andradina immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.