MT · Rondonópolis immediate region

Araguainha: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Araguainha with 53.82% of valid votes against 46.18% for Lula: a margin of 7.64 points, 11.21 points right of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +0.44pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 1,231; 142th largest electorate in Mato Grosso
Side changes: 4; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Mato Grosso

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Araguainha+7.64 pts
Mato Grosso+32.12 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.82% Lula (PT)46.18%	+7.64 pts	Right bloc	72.87%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.21% Lula (PT)42.74% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.71% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.71% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.53% Zema (NOVO)0.11% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+11.11 pts	Right bloc	78.10%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.27% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.73%	−6.53 pts	Left bloc	76.49%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)57.13% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)38.57% Simone Tebet (MDB)1.84% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.47% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.74% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.25% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−17.20 pts	Left bloc	80.02%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)52.64% Fernando Haddad (PT)47.36%	+5.28 pts	Right bloc	71.88%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)46.98% Fernando Haddad (PT)39.27% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.04% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.02% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.36% Marina Silva (REDE)1.21% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.91% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.76% Eymael (DC)0.30% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.15% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+6.95 pts	Right bloc	77.27%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)59.80% Aécio Neves (PSDB)40.20%	−19.60 pts	Left bloc	70.04%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)54.97% Aécio Neves (PSDB)32.69% Marina Silva (PSB)10.58% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.64% +7 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.32% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.32% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.32% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.16% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00% Eymael (PSDC)0.00% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.00%	−33.33 pts	Left bloc	75.17%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)58.27% José Serra (PSDB)41.73%	−16.53 pts	Left bloc	68.92%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)53.51% José Serra (PSDB)36.05% Marina Silva (PV)9.30% Plínio (PSOL)0.82% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.16% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.16%	−27.90 pts	Left bloc	73.31%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)64.21% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)35.79%	−28.43 pts	Left bloc	76.13%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.13% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)43.86% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.13% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.48% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.26% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.13%	−11.49 pts	Left bloc	85.96%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)65.90% José Serra (PSDB)34.10%	−31.79 pts	Left bloc	76.84%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)44.81% José Serra (PSDB)25.40% Ciro (PPS)16.22% Garotinho (PSB)13.43% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.13%	−49.20 pts	Left bloc	87.68%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)77.35% Lula (PT)12.14% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.89% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.09% +7 more Sirkis (PV)0.77% Enéas (PRONA)0.77% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.33% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.22% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.22% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.11% Eymael (PSDC)0.11%	+57.33 pts	Right bloc	75.62%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)74.81% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)10.72% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)8.27% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)3.23% +3 more Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)1.94% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.65% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.39%	+72.09 pts	Right bloc	76.55%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Rondonópolis immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.