MT · Água Boa immediate region

Ribeirão Cascalheira: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Ribeirão Cascalheira with 70.22% of valid votes against 29.78% for Lula: a margin of 40.43 points, 44.00 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +37.24pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 7,619; 74th largest electorate in Mato Grosso
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Mato Grosso

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Ribeirão Cascalheira+40.43 pts
Mato Grosso+32.12 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)70.22% Lula (PT)29.78%	+40.43 pts	Right bloc	74.92%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)70.09% Lula (PT)26.24% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.93% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.06% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.57% Zema (NOVO)0.05% Samara (UP)0.04% Clariana Barao (DC)0.02% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+45.32 pts	Right bloc	76.37%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)66.92% Lula (PT)33.08%	+33.85 pts	Right bloc	70.18%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)62.56% Lula (PT)32.86% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.42% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.37% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.52% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.18% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.06% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	+31.47 pts	Right bloc	70.61%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)65.43% Fernando Haddad (PT)34.57%	+30.86 pts	Right bloc	65.71%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)58.54% Fernando Haddad (PT)25.26% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.53% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.36% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.43% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.08% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.66% Marina Silva (REDE)0.49% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.40% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.16% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Eymael (DC)0.02%	+37.31 pts	Right bloc	69.03%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)72.46% Dilma (PT)27.54%	+44.92 pts	Right bloc	69.61%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)63.74% Dilma (PT)26.56% Marina Silva (PSB)8.46% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.98% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.14% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.00% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00% Eymael (PSDC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+29.59 pts	Right bloc	73.49%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)62.00% Dilma (PT)38.00%	+23.99 pts	Right bloc	72.01%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)56.61% Dilma (PT)38.08% Marina Silva (PV)4.85% Plínio (PSOL)0.31% +4 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.02% Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	+13.42 pts	Right bloc	78.42%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)74.50% Lula (PT)25.50%	+49.00 pts	Right bloc	72.62%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)76.02% Lula (PT)20.19% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.89% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.66% +3 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.15% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.02%	+52.52 pts	Right bloc	76.21%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)60.29% Lula (PT)39.71%	+20.57 pts	Right bloc	64.11%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)43.42% Lula (PT)30.88% Garotinho (PSB)14.42% Ciro (PPS)11.07% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.16% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	−13.17 pts	Left bloc	72.36%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)79.22% Lula (PT)11.92% Ciro Gomes (PPS)4.81% Enéas (PRONA)1.59% +8 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.64% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.61% Eymael (PSDC)0.30% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.26% Sirkis (PV)0.26% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.26% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.08% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.04%	+62.98 pts	Right bloc	63.27%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)62.89% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)17.24% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)12.21% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.36% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)2.31% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.41% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.27% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.32%	+60.89 pts	Right bloc	61.50%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

Other municipalities in the Água Boa immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.