MT · Sinop immediate region

Santa Carmem: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Santa Carmem with 78.72% of valid votes against 21.28% for Lula: a margin of 57.44 points, 61.01 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +52.35pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 4,176; 107th largest electorate in Mato Grosso
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Mato Grosso

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Santa Carmem+57.44 pts
Mato Grosso+32.12 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)78.72% Lula (PT)21.28%	+57.44 pts	Right bloc	84.89%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)77.73% Lula (PT)18.13% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.75% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.51% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.74% Clariana Barao (DC)0.06% Samara (UP)0.06% Zema (NOVO)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+60.13 pts	Right bloc	82.74%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)77.38% Lula (PT)22.62%	+54.76 pts	Right bloc	79.70%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)73.34% Lula (PT)22.54% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.42% Ciro Gomes (PDT)0.92% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.46% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.18% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.04% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.04% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00%	+52.93 pts	Right bloc	77.89%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)76.70% Fernando Haddad (PT)23.30%	+53.40 pts	Right bloc	75.06%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)69.85% Fernando Haddad (PT)19.31% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.05% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.01% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.93% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.96% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.80% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.56% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.32% Marina Silva (REDE)0.20% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+54.24 pts	Right bloc	77.03%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)60.10% Dilma (PT)39.90%	+20.20 pts	Right bloc	72.81%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)54.40% Dilma (PT)37.46% Marina Silva (PSB)6.99% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.40% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.35% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.27% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+10.39 pts	Right bloc	75.82%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)58.12% Dilma (PT)41.88%	+16.23 pts	Right bloc	70.29%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)54.98% Dilma (PT)41.06% Marina Silva (PV)3.41% Plínio (PSOL)0.18% +4 more Eymael (PSDC)0.14% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.09% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05%	+10.41 pts	Right bloc	74.59%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)67.68% Lula (PT)32.32%	+35.36 pts	Right bloc	72.19%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)69.27% Lula (PT)25.68% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.18% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.82% +1 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%	+38.63 pts	Right bloc	77.98%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.22% José Serra (PSDB)46.78%	−6.45 pts	Left bloc	68.57%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)33.76% Ciro (PPS)29.67% José Serra (PSDB)27.46% Garotinho (PSB)8.90% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.11% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.11%	−45.08 pts	Left bloc	75.74%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)73.32% Lula (PT)13.44% Ciro Gomes (PPS)9.30% Enéas (PRONA)1.63% +7 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.88% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.81% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.20% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.14% Eymael (PSDC)0.14% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.07% Sirkis (PV)0.07%	+50.58 pts	Right bloc	71.47%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)60.41% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)15.59% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)7.45% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)7.26% +4 more Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.26% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)3.78% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.87% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.39%	+70.57 pts	Right bloc	73.63%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Sinop immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.