MT · Confresa - Vila Rica immediate region

Serra Nova Dourada: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Serra Nova Dourada with 72.77% of valid votes against 27.23% for Lula: a margin of 45.53 points, 49.10 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +37.68pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 1,725; 141th largest electorate in Mato Grosso
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 7 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Mato Grosso

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Serra Nova Dourada+45.53 pts
Mato Grosso+32.12 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)72.77% Lula (PT)27.23%	+45.53 pts	Right bloc	68.46%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)72.32% Lula (PT)23.44% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.68% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)0.95% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.61% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Zema (NOVO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+51.21 pts	Right bloc	68.58%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)67.48% Lula (PT)32.52%	+34.96 pts	Right bloc	69.19%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)63.51% Lula (PT)32.81% Simone Tebet (MDB)1.75% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.49% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.35% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.09% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+31.40 pts	Right bloc	71.18%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)63.47% Fernando Haddad (PT)36.53%	+26.94 pts	Right bloc	64.38%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)59.14% Fernando Haddad (PT)27.47% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.79% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)4.31% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.48% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.57% Marina Silva (REDE)0.45% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.34% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.23% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.11% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.11% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (DC)0.00%	+31.90 pts	Right bloc	66.40%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)66.71% Dilma (PT)33.29%	+33.42 pts	Right bloc	73.73%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)57.30% Dilma (PT)33.33% Marina Silva (PSB)6.76% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)2.14% +7 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.36% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.12% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.00% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00% Eymael (PSDC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.00%	+19.57 pts	Right bloc	82.58%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)62.40% Dilma (PT)37.60%	+24.80 pts	Right bloc	55.36%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)50.41% Dilma (PT)33.42% Marina Silva (PV)15.35% Plínio (PSOL)0.68% +1 more Eymael (PSDC)0.14%	+1.09 pts	Right bloc	69.49%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)70.44% Lula (PT)29.56%	+40.89 pts	Right bloc	59.34%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)71.45% Lula (PT)21.14% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)5.84% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.26% +2 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.16% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.16%	+43.53 pts	Right bloc	68.06%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)53.41% Lula (PT)46.59%	+6.83 pts	Right bloc	54.16%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)39.87% Lula (PT)29.07% Ciro (PPS)17.18% Garotinho (PSB)13.88%	−20.26 pts	Left bloc	67.76%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

Other municipalities in the Confresa - Vila Rica immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.