PR · Francisco Beltrão immediate region

Bela Vista da Caroba: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Bela Vista da Caroba with 52.58% of valid votes against 47.42% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 5.16 points, 1.59 points left of Brazil.

Likely left

Lean versus Brazil: −14.27pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 2,988; 365th largest electorate in Paraná
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 8 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Paraná

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Bela Vista da Caroba−5.16 pts
Paraná+25.15 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.58% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.42%	−5.16 pts	Left bloc	83.03%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.27% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)43.58% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.62% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.91% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.29% Zema (NOVO)0.12% Samara (UP)0.12% Clariana Barao (DC)0.04% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.04% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−4.61 pts	Left bloc	83.10%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)58.87% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)41.13%	−17.75 pts	Left bloc	84.35%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)58.41% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)37.16% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.19% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.69% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.33% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.17% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−20.21 pts	Left bloc	84.08%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)62.73% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)37.27%	−25.46 pts	Left bloc	87.55%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)54.90% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)29.76% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.98% Alvaro Dias (PODE)4.32% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.54% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.89% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.59% Marina Silva (REDE)0.47% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.25% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.25% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	−23.27 pts	Left bloc	88.16%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)60.18% Aécio Neves (PSDB)39.82%	−20.37 pts	Left bloc	79.22%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)57.63% Aécio Neves (PSDB)35.74% Marina Silva (PSB)5.36% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.58% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.27% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.19% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.15% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−26.75 pts	Left bloc	82.89%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)60.16% José Serra (PSDB)39.84%	−20.31 pts	Left bloc	81.58%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)61.24% José Serra (PSDB)31.88% Marina Silva (PV)6.00% Plínio (PSOL)0.77% +2 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.08% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−36.09 pts	Left bloc	84.69%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)65.12% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)34.88%	−30.24 pts	Left bloc	86.46%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)57.01% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)38.09% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.94% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.88% +1 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.08%	−23.66 pts	Left bloc	87.44%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)67.31% José Serra (PSDB)32.69%	−34.63 pts	Left bloc	71.51%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)58.25% José Serra (PSDB)26.97% Garotinho (PSB)10.85% Ciro (PPS)3.80% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.13%	−46.07 pts	Left bloc	75.21%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.71% Fernando Henrique (PSDB)30.34% Ciro Gomes (PPS)8.71% Enéas (PRONA)3.46% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.54% Sirkis (PV)0.54% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.54% Eymael (PSDC)0.36% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.31% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.22% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.13% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.13%	−30.52 pts	Left bloc	68.15%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

Other municipalities in the Francisco Beltrão immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.