50mais1

PR · Toledo immediate region

Toledo: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Toledo with 68.59% of valid votes against 31.41% for Lula: a margin of 37.18 points, 40.75 points right of Brazil.

Solid rightSwing
Lean versus Brazil
+37.56pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
108,095
12th largest electorate in Paraná
Side changes
2
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Paraná

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Toledo+37.18 pts
  • Paraná+25.15 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)68.59%
  • Lula (PT)31.41%
+37.18 ptsRight bloc83.62%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)66.12%
  • Lula (PT)26.10%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.91%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.65%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.79%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.23%
  • Samara (UP)0.10%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.03%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
+41.67 ptsRight bloc81.57%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)68.76%
  • Lula (PT)31.24%
+37.53 ptsRight bloc83.47%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)62.93%
  • Lula (PT)29.71%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)3.72%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.50%
+7 more
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.56%
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.43%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.03%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.02%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%
+35.42 ptsRight bloc82.00%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)72.39%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)27.61%
+44.79 ptsRight bloc84.32%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)62.24%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)16.57%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.77%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)4.42%
+9 more
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.13%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.69%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.28%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.64%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.62%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.58%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.03%
  • Eymael (DC)0.02%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%
+48.83 ptsRight bloc84.67%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)61.13%
  • Dilma (PT)38.87%
+22.26 ptsRight bloc82.26%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)55.28%
  • Dilma (PT)32.60%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)9.06%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.23%
+7 more
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.61%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.54%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.47%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.07%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
+12.73 ptsRight bloc83.69%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)51.80%
  • Dilma (PT)48.20%
+3.60 ptsRight bloc81.73%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • José Serra (PSDB)44.87%
  • Dilma (PT)42.70%
  • Marina Silva (PV)11.32%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.91%
+5 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.06%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−10.05 ptsLeft bloc83.87%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)50.59%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)49.41%
−1.19 ptsLeft bloc83.67%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)51.90%
  • Lula (PT)39.85%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.91%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)3.14%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.08%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.07%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%
+4.20 ptsRight bloc84.35%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)62.32%
  • José Serra (PSDB)37.68%
−24.63 ptsLeft bloc82.16%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)54.70%
  • José Serra (PSDB)25.80%
  • Garotinho (PSB)11.29%
  • Ciro (PPS)7.70%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.46%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%
−48.39 ptsLeft bloc84.23%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)55.17%
  • Lula (PT)33.39%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)8.51%
  • Enéas (PRONA)2.18%
+8 more
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.20%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.12%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.10%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.09%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.07%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.07%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.03%
+15.52 ptsRight bloc79.52%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)42.07%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)25.14%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)13.89%
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)8.81%
+4 more
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)7.64%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)1.78%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.36%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.31%
+34.44 ptsRight bloc82.47%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Toledo immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.