50mais1

RJ · Rio de Janeiro immediate region

Guapimirim: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Guapimirim with 58.51% of valid votes against 41.49% for Lula: a margin of 17.02 points, 20.59 points right of Brazil.

Solid right
Lean versus Brazil
+19.73pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
44,950
38th largest electorate in Rio de Janeiro
Side changes
2
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Rio de Janeiro

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Guapimirim+17.02 pts
  • Rio de Janeiro+6.20 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)58.51%
  • Lula (PT)41.49%
+17.02 ptsRight bloc78.01%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)58.73%
  • Lula (PT)34.40%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.66%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.02%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.74%
  • Samara (UP)0.16%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.13%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.05%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.05%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.03%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%
+25.32 ptsRight bloc78.32%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)61.02%
  • Lula (PT)38.98%
+22.03 ptsRight bloc77.45%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)55.21%
  • Lula (PT)37.84%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)3.61%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.39%
+7 more
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.52%
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.26%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.06%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.01%
+19.37 ptsRight bloc78.28%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)67.50%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)32.50%
+35.01 ptsRight bloc72.17%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)59.07%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)20.98%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)8.78%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)3.56%
+9 more
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.92%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)1.57%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.18%
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.83%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.59%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.37%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.07%
  • Eymael (DC)0.07%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.01%
+36.43 ptsRight bloc74.92%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)54.66%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)45.34%
−9.31 ptsLeft bloc74.57%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)38.70%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)32.44%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)24.26%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)2.26%
+7 more
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.03%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.69%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.44%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.07%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.05%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−45.50 ptsLeft bloc78.84%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)65.43%
  • José Serra (PSDB)34.57%
−30.87 ptsLeft bloc75.84%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)50.37%
  • Marina Silva (PV)26.31%
  • José Serra (PSDB)21.79%
  • Plínio (PSOL)1.09%
+5 more
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.24%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%
−55.82 ptsLeft bloc80.82%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)78.85%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)21.15%
−57.70 ptsLeft bloc79.48%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)61.25%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)23.80%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)12.19%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.34%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.15%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.14%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.13%
−51.56 ptsLeft bloc83.35%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)81.18%
  • José Serra (PSDB)18.82%
−62.37 ptsLeft bloc79.41%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Garotinho (PSB)58.14%
  • Lula (PT)30.11%
  • José Serra (PSDB)5.79%
  • Ciro (PPS)5.63%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.32%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
−88.41 ptsLeft bloc83.98%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)45.72%
  • Lula (PT)42.01%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.89%
  • Enéas (PRONA)3.60%
+8 more
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.58%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.41%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.16%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.15%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.15%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.14%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.09%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08%
+0.38 ptsRight bloc78.72%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)51.79%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)21.55%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)11.06%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)9.39%
+4 more
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.15%
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.58%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.79%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.70%
+38.12 ptsRight bloc85.27%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Rio de Janeiro immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.