RJ · Nova Friburgo immediate region

Trajano de Moraes: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Trajano de Moraes with 50.45% of valid votes against 49.55% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 0.90 points, 2.67 points right of Brazil.

Toss-upSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −2.42pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 9,269; 84th largest electorate in Rio de Janeiro
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of Rio de Janeiro

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Trajano de Moraes−0.90 pts
Rio de Janeiro+6.20 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.45% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)49.55%	−0.90 pts	Left bloc	79.18%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)50.08% Lula (PT)43.91% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.46% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.32% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.07% Samara (UP)0.06% Zema (NOVO)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+7.06 pts	Right bloc	80.54%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.55% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.45%	−7.10 pts	Left bloc	81.99%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.21% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)43.24% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.89% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.98% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.30% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.16% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.13% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.01% Léo Péricles (UP)0.01%	−4.51 pts	Left bloc	81.60%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)53.70% Fernando Haddad (PT)46.30%	+7.41 pts	Right bloc	82.29%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)46.08% Fernando Haddad (PT)33.68% Ciro Gomes (PDT)10.55% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)4.12% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.76% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.11% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.70% Marina Silva (REDE)0.68% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.66% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.49% Vera (PSTU)0.09% Eymael (DC)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03%	+8.96 pts	Right bloc	83.83%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)58.27% Aécio Neves (PSDB)41.73%	−16.53 pts	Left bloc	74.40%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)45.18% Aécio Neves (PSDB)32.18% Marina Silva (PSB)19.90% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.19% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.62% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.45% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.32% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.11% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−32.29 pts	Left bloc	79.57%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)60.61% José Serra (PSDB)39.39%	−21.22 pts	Left bloc	77.49%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)53.00% José Serra (PSDB)29.01% Marina Silva (PV)17.24% Plínio (PSOL)0.45% +5 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.10% Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−41.72 pts	Left bloc	82.86%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)69.58% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)30.42%	−39.16 pts	Left bloc	82.04%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)51.12% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)37.70% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)7.47% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)3.11% +3 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.39% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.13% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.08%	−23.39 pts	Left bloc	87.34%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)61.16% José Serra (PSDB)38.84%	−22.31 pts	Left bloc	72.22%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Garotinho (PSB)68.79% Lula (PT)19.44% José Serra (PSDB)7.88% Ciro (PPS)3.57% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.31% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−84.25 pts	Left bloc	80.52%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)60.95% Lula (PT)28.64% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.34% Enéas (PRONA)1.49% +8 more Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.30% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.30% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.23% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.23% Eymael (PSDC)0.17% Sirkis (PV)0.15% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.11% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.09%	+26.47 pts	Right bloc	73.85%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)66.48% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)16.47% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)8.06% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.03% +4 more Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.66% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.99% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.97% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.34%	+50.94 pts	Right bloc	81.69%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Nova Friburgo immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.