50mais1

RN · Natal immediate region

Ielmo Marinho: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Ielmo Marinho with 70.42% of valid votes against 29.58% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 40.84 points, 37.27 points left of Brazil.

Solid left
Lean versus Brazil
−43.68pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
11,540
43th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Norte
Side changes
1
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?
No
Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Rio Grande do Norte

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Ielmo Marinho−40.84 pts
  • Rio Grande do Norte−31.44 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)70.42%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)29.58%
−40.84 ptsLeft bloc84.03%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)65.02%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)29.84%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.44%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.98%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.68%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.01%
  • Samara (UP)0.01%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.00%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%
−36.98 ptsLeft bloc84.60%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)69.34%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)30.66%
−38.67 ptsLeft bloc81.37%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)66.90%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)28.12%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.44%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)2.13%
+7 more
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.27%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07%
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.03%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.03%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.01%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%
−38.76 ptsLeft bloc82.78%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)75.60%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)24.40%
−51.19 ptsLeft bloc79.55%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)62.37%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)19.71%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)9.89%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.51%
+9 more
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)2.17%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.91%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.42%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.40%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.26%
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.24%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.10%
  • Eymael (DC)0.00%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%
−46.37 ptsLeft bloc82.48%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)78.75%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)21.25%
−57.50 ptsLeft bloc86.77%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)71.73%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)14.87%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)12.13%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.67%
+7 more
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.27%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.17%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.04%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.04%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−68.48 ptsLeft bloc86.40%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)57.43%
  • José Serra (PSDB)42.57%
−14.85 ptsLeft bloc69.53%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)56.51%
  • José Serra (PSDB)31.25%
  • Marina Silva (PV)11.80%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.21%
+4 more
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.09%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.06%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04%
−37.25 ptsLeft bloc78.77%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)67.42%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)32.58%
−34.84 ptsLeft bloc75.82%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)65.76%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)30.65%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.18%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.09%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.24%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03%
−38.06 ptsLeft bloc79.55%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)51.76%
  • Lula (PT)48.24%
+3.52 ptsRight bloc77.37%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • José Serra (PSDB)30.84%
  • Lula (PT)29.96%
  • Ciro (PPS)23.20%
  • Garotinho (PSB)15.80%
+1 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.19%
−38.32 ptsLeft bloc80.74%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)72.07%
  • Lula (PT)13.29%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.84%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.71%
+8 more
  • Enéas (PRONA)1.71%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.87%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.62%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.62%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.50%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.34%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.28%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.17%
+50.85 ptsRight bloc81.92%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)70.41%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)12.03%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)11.90%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.57%
+4 more
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.30%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.96%
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.48%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.34%
+73.33 ptsRight bloc83.64%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Natal immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.