RN · Natal immediate region
Ielmo Marinho: how it voted for president
In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Ielmo Marinho with 70.42% of valid votes against 29.58% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 40.84 points, 37.27 points left of Brazil.
- Lean versus Brazil
- −43.68pts
- Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
- Electorate (2026)
- 11,540
- 43th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Norte
- Side changes
- 1
- Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
- Bellwether?
- No
- Has voted for the national winner since 2022.
On the map of Rio Grande do Norte
2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.
Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.
Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).
Municipality, state and Brazil
Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.
- Ielmo Marinho−40.84 pts
- Rio Grande do Norte−31.44 pts
- Brazil−3.57 pts
Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.
Margin over time
Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.
Every election
| Year | Round | Candidates (% of valid votes) | Margin (right − left) | Bloc ahead | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 10/25/2026 | Round 2 |
| −40.84 pts | Left bloc | 84.03% |
| 2026 10/04/2026 | Round 1 |
+8 more
| −36.98 pts | Left bloc | 84.60% |
| 2022 10/30/2022 | Round 2 |
| −38.67 pts | Left bloc | 81.37% |
| 2022 10/02/2022 | Round 1 |
+7 more
| −38.76 pts | Left bloc | 82.78% |
| 2018 10/28/2018 | Round 2 |
| −51.19 pts | Left bloc | 79.55% |
| 2018 10/07/2018 | Round 1 |
+9 more
| −46.37 pts | Left bloc | 82.48% |
| 2014 10/26/2014 | Round 2 |
| −57.50 pts | Left bloc | 86.77% |
| 2014 10/05/2014 | Round 1 |
+7 more
| −68.48 pts | Left bloc | 86.40% |
| 2010 10/31/2010 | Round 2 |
| −14.85 pts | Left bloc | 69.53% |
| 2010 10/03/2010 | Round 1 |
+4 more
| −37.25 pts | Left bloc | 78.77% |
| 2006 10/29/2006 | Round 2 |
| −34.84 pts | Left bloc | 75.82% |
| 2006 10/01/2006 | Round 1 |
+3 more
| −38.06 pts | Left bloc | 79.55% |
| 2002 10/27/2002 | Round 2 |
| +3.52 pts | Right bloc | 77.37% |
| 2002 10/06/2002 | Round 1 |
+1 more
| −38.32 pts | Left bloc | 80.74% |
| 1998 10/04/1998 | Round 1 |
+8 more
| +50.85 pts | Right bloc | 81.92% |
| 1994 10/03/1994 | Round 1 |
+4 more
| +73.33 pts | Right bloc | 83.64% |
Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.
When the municipality changed sides
- 2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
Other municipalities in the Natal immediate region
Find another municipality
Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.