50mais1

RN · Natal immediate region · capital

Natal: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Natal with 56.00% of valid votes against 44.00% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 12.00 points, 8.43 points left of Brazil.

Lean leftSwing
Lean versus Brazil
−6.74pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
573,154
1th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Norte
Side changes
5
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Has voted for the national winner since 2014.

On the map of Rio Grande do Norte

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Natal−12.00 pts
  • Rio Grande do Norte−31.44 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)56.00%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)44.00%
−12.00 ptsLeft bloc83.38%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)48.99%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)44.17%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.04%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.19%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.20%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.16%
  • Samara (UP)0.12%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.05%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.03%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%
−4.47 ptsLeft bloc79.49%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)52.96%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)47.04%
−5.92 ptsLeft bloc82.52%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)50.15%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)42.01%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.11%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)2.97%
+7 more
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.28%
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.27%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.06%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.05%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.04%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%
−8.81 ptsLeft bloc79.92%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)52.98%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)47.02%
+5.96 ptsRight bloc81.92%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)44.42%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)23.57%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)22.81%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.76%
+9 more
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.85%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.50%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)1.05%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.79%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.75%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.35%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.09%
  • Eymael (DC)0.04%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03%
+3.39 ptsRight bloc81.54%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)58.03%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)41.97%
−16.05 ptsLeft bloc86.71%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)42.26%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)28.04%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)24.12%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)2.71%
+7 more
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.20%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.64%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.54%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.34%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.08%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−40.27 ptsLeft bloc85.21%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)51.72%
  • Dilma (PT)48.28%
+3.45 ptsRight bloc80.69%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)35.60%
  • José Serra (PSDB)33.47%
  • Marina Silva (PV)29.41%
  • Plínio (PSOL)1.16%
+5 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.14%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.12%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−32.73 ptsLeft bloc83.39%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)60.30%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)39.70%
−20.60 ptsLeft bloc84.59%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)47.01%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)37.86%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)9.60%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)5.13%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.21%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.11%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.08%
−23.49 ptsLeft bloc85.83%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)70.89%
  • José Serra (PSDB)29.11%
−41.78 ptsLeft bloc82.92%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)51.27%
  • Garotinho (PSB)21.96%
  • José Serra (PSDB)13.34%
  • Ciro (PPS)12.95%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.43%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%
−73.33 ptsLeft bloc84.53%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)41.83%
  • Lula (PT)35.63%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)19.82%
  • Enéas (PRONA)1.58%
+8 more
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.24%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.19%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.19%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.15%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.12%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.10%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.10%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.04%
−12.21 ptsLeft bloc82.46%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)53.78%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)32.70%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)7.01%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.16%
+4 more
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.43%
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.16%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.40%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.37%
+31.73 ptsRight bloc85.62%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2010(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2014(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Natal immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.