RS · Tramandaí - Osório immediate region

Balneário Pinhal: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Balneário Pinhal with 51.95% of valid votes against 48.05% for Lula: a margin of 3.91 points, 7.48 points right of Brazil.

Likely rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +11.33pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 11,039; 129th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Sul
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 8 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Rio Grande do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Balneário Pinhal+3.91 pts
Rio Grande do Sul+15.67 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)51.95% Lula (PT)48.05%	+3.91 pts	Right bloc	71.11%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)50.90% Lula (PT)41.30% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.94% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.41% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.01% Zema (NOVO)0.22% Clariana Barao (DC)0.10% Samara (UP)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.04% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+12.36 pts	Right bloc	69.73%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)53.12% Lula (PT)46.88%	+6.23 pts	Right bloc	72.93%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.01% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)44.80% Simone Tebet (MDB)5.28% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.79% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.50% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.28% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.19% Léo Péricles (UP)0.09% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	+2.09 pts	Right bloc	72.74%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)65.42% Fernando Haddad (PT)34.58%	+30.83 pts	Right bloc	76.05%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)52.57% Fernando Haddad (PT)20.25% Ciro Gomes (PDT)11.77% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)7.89% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)3.18% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.29% Marina Silva (REDE)1.23% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.59% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.57% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.50% Eymael (DC)0.09% Vera (PSTU)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03%	+32.21 pts	Right bloc	77.72%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)57.40% Dilma (PT)42.60%	+14.81 pts	Right bloc	69.83%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)40.35% Aécio Neves (PSDB)36.82% Marina Silva (PSB)19.71% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.47% +5 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.66% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.64% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.18% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.09%	−24.73 pts	Left bloc	72.62%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)57.33% Dilma (PT)42.67%	+14.65 pts	Right bloc	73.80%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)47.53% Dilma (PT)40.28% Marina Silva (PV)11.43% Plínio (PSOL)0.58% +3 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04%	−4.83 pts	Left bloc	77.26%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)57.35% Lula (PT)42.65%	+14.69 pts	Right bloc	78.76%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)58.72% Lula (PT)30.02% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)8.29% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.91% +2 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.02%	+17.58 pts	Right bloc	81.68%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)51.27% Lula (PT)48.73%	+2.54 pts	Right bloc	72.57%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)38.60% Lula (PT)35.92% Garotinho (PSB)12.94% Ciro (PPS)12.25% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.27% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−22.80 pts	Left bloc	77.17%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)52.35% Lula (PT)38.48% Ciro Gomes (PPS)3.57% Enéas (PRONA)3.38% +8 more Sirkis (PV)0.40% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.37% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.37% Eymael (PSDC)0.33% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.33% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.18% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.11% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.11%	+12.95 pts	Right bloc	79.54%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2014(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Tramandaí - Osório immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.