RS · Soledade immediate region

Barros Cassal: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Barros Cassal with 60.29% of valid votes against 39.71% for Lula: a margin of 20.57 points, 24.14 points right of Brazil.

Lean rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +5.75pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 8,268; 154th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Sul
Side changes: 6; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Rio Grande do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Barros Cassal+20.57 pts
Rio Grande do Sul+15.67 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)60.29% Lula (PT)39.71%	+20.57 pts	Right bloc	79.18%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)58.89% Lula (PT)34.27% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.53% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.39% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.65% Zema (NOVO)0.18% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+26.57 pts	Right bloc	77.06%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.92% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.08%	−7.85 pts	Left bloc	80.41%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)53.02% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)38.96% Simone Tebet (MDB)5.83% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.47% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.37% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.29% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−8.98 pts	Left bloc	80.70%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)50.88% Fernando Haddad (PT)49.12%	+1.77 pts	Right bloc	81.48%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)38.36% Fernando Haddad (PT)37.71% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)9.25% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.33% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)6.12% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.27% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.32% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.26% Marina Silva (REDE)0.23% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.13% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (DC)0.00%	+10.90 pts	Right bloc	83.72%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)53.63% Aécio Neves (PSDB)46.37%	−7.27 pts	Left bloc	75.52%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)56.10% Aécio Neves (PSDB)36.48% Marina Silva (PSB)6.59% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.31% +5 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.19% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.17% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.11% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02%	−26.32 pts	Left bloc	78.13%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)57.65% José Serra (PSDB)42.35%	−15.30 pts	Left bloc	77.61%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)57.83% José Serra (PSDB)37.35% Marina Silva (PV)4.10% Plínio (PSOL)0.61% +3 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02%	−25.11 pts	Left bloc	80.72%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)57.80% Lula (PT)42.20%	+15.59 pts	Right bloc	78.58%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)65.69% Lula (PT)29.68% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.13% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.98% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.27% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.14% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.11%	+32.42 pts	Right bloc	81.62%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.13% José Serra (PSDB)47.87%	−4.25 pts	Left bloc	77.47%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)44.15% José Serra (PSDB)36.67% Ciro (PPS)10.67% Garotinho (PSB)8.24% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.18% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.09%	−26.67 pts	Left bloc	80.24%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)55.57% Lula (PT)31.81% Ciro Gomes (PPS)4.93% Enéas (PRONA)2.81% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.31% Eymael (PSDC)0.81% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.71% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.58% Sirkis (PV)0.51% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.47% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.26% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.24%	+20.31 pts	Right bloc	77.29%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)30.52% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)21.20% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)14.45% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)14.36% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)13.53% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.30% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.88% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.75%	+28.68 pts	Right bloc	81.66%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2010(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Soledade immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.