RS · São Luiz Gonzaga immediate region

Caibaté: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Caibaté with 54.34% of valid votes against 45.66% for Lula: a margin of 8.69 points, 12.26 points right of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −0.46pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 4,011; 279th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Sul
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Rio Grande do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Caibaté+8.69 pts
Rio Grande do Sul+15.67 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.34% Lula (PT)45.66%	+8.69 pts	Right bloc	84.07%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)51.83% Lula (PT)42.04% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.42% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.26% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.21% Zema (NOVO)0.19% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+11.07 pts	Right bloc	81.98%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.14% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.86%	−6.29 pts	Left bloc	84.85%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)52.38% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)41.33% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.03% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.77% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.24% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.21% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−8.31 pts	Left bloc	84.05%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)53.25% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)46.75%	−6.49 pts	Left bloc	84.65%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)43.93% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)41.54% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.88% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.74% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.95% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.29% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.88% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.35% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.22% Marina Silva (REDE)0.09% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.09% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.00%	−0.76 pts	Left bloc	86.44%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)54.96% Aécio Neves (PSDB)45.04%	−9.92 pts	Left bloc	81.74%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)53.43% Aécio Neves (PSDB)37.83% Marina Silva (PSB)7.31% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.60% +5 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.29% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.25% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.16% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.06%	−22.82 pts	Left bloc	84.41%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)61.13% José Serra (PSDB)38.87%	−22.26 pts	Left bloc	84.13%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)60.82% José Serra (PSDB)32.20% Marina Silva (PV)5.82% Plínio (PSOL)0.80% +4 more Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.13% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.10% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.07%	−35.26 pts	Left bloc	85.65%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)57.81% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)42.19%	−15.62 pts	Left bloc	82.53%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.21% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)43.40% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)3.60% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.59% +3 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.10% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.03%	−12.80 pts	Left bloc	84.72%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)65.32% José Serra (PSDB)34.68%	−30.64 pts	Left bloc	77.08%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)57.33% José Serra (PSDB)27.01% Garotinho (PSB)11.71% Ciro (PPS)3.56% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.29% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.10%	−45.97 pts	Left bloc	80.64%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Lula (PT)61.03% Fernando Henrique (PSDB)27.47% Ciro Gomes (PPS)5.38% Enéas (PRONA)3.17% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.86% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.51% Eymael (PSDC)0.48% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.30% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.28% Sirkis (PV)0.25% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.18% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.08%	−36.68 pts	Left bloc	79.40%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)50.80% Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)15.61% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)12.58% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)8.17% +4 more Orestes Quercia (PMDB)6.96% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.28% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.43% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.18%	−17.93 pts	Left bloc	84.78%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2026(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the São Luiz Gonzaga immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.