RS · Marau immediate region

Casca: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Casca with 77.68% of valid votes against 22.32% for Lula: a margin of 55.36 points, 58.93 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +48.43pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 7,527; 168th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Sul
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Rio Grande do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Casca+55.36 pts
Rio Grande do Sul+15.67 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)77.68% Lula (PT)22.32%	+55.36 pts	Right bloc	86.79%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)74.44% Lula (PT)18.51% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.50% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.33% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.75% Zema (NOVO)0.26% Samara (UP)0.11% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00%	+57.92 pts	Right bloc	84.77%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)72.28% Lula (PT)27.72%	+44.55 pts	Right bloc	85.99%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)64.57% Lula (PT)27.65% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.65% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.83% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.90% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.31% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02%	+40.95 pts	Right bloc	83.88%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)74.29% Fernando Haddad (PT)25.71%	+48.58 pts	Right bloc	83.05%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)63.45% Fernando Haddad (PT)16.87% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.94% João Amoêdo (NOVO)5.10% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.58% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)2.72% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.57% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.37% Marina Silva (REDE)0.22% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.14% Vera (PSTU)0.02% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02% Eymael (DC)0.00%	+51.12 pts	Right bloc	83.53%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)64.81% Dilma (PT)35.19%	+29.63 pts	Right bloc	85.37%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)59.52% Dilma (PT)33.00% Marina Silva (PSB)6.08% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.56% +6 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.37% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.24% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.12% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	+19.86 pts	Right bloc	85.73%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)53.40% Dilma (PT)46.60%	+6.80 pts	Right bloc	84.93%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)46.29% Dilma (PT)46.07% Marina Silva (PV)6.55% Plínio (PSOL)0.81% +4 more Eymael (PSDC)0.11% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.02%	−7.06 pts	Left bloc	86.22%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)65.52% Lula (PT)34.48%	+31.03 pts	Right bloc	85.79%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)67.08% Lula (PT)24.79% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)4.49% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.45% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.13% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.06%	+34.54 pts	Right bloc	86.92%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.09% José Serra (PSDB)47.91%	−4.19 pts	Left bloc	85.79%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)44.83% José Serra (PSDB)43.56% Garotinho (PSB)6.58% Ciro (PPS)4.62% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.32% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.11%	−12.88 pts	Left bloc	86.98%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.54% Fernando Henrique (PSDB)38.46% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.11% Enéas (PRONA)5.85% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.70% Eymael (PSDC)0.55% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.46% Sirkis (PV)0.41% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.31% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.29% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.24% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.10%	−9.04 pts	Left bloc	86.50%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)27.81% Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)20.52% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)18.34% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)12.33% +4 more Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)12.20% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)8.17% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.41% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.23%	+19.71 pts	Right bloc	89.90%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Marau immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.