RS · Lagoa Vermelha immediate region

Caseiros: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Caseiros with 66.78% of valid votes against 33.22% for Lula: a margin of 33.57 points, 37.14 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +26.34pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,182; 341th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Sul
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Rio Grande do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Caseiros+33.57 pts
Rio Grande do Sul+15.67 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)66.78% Lula (PT)33.22%	+33.57 pts	Right bloc	81.77%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)65.82% Lula (PT)28.29% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.24% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.74% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.70% Zema (NOVO)0.17% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.04% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+38.86 pts	Right bloc	79.29%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)59.82% Lula (PT)40.18%	+19.63 pts	Right bloc	84.83%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)52.36% Lula (PT)40.06% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.20% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.61% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.45% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.24% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.04% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	+14.59 pts	Right bloc	82.76%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)62.17% Fernando Haddad (PT)37.83%	+24.35 pts	Right bloc	84.85%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)50.87% Fernando Haddad (PT)27.46% Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.82% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.64% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)3.58% João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.59% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.47% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.24% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.14% Marina Silva (REDE)0.09% Eymael (DC)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	+28.69 pts	Right bloc	85.29%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)59.53% Dilma (PT)40.47%	+19.06 pts	Right bloc	84.27%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)55.03% Dilma (PT)38.96% Marina Silva (PSB)4.83% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.39% +5 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.39% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.20% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.10% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.05%	+11.23 pts	Right bloc	85.23%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)62.10% Dilma (PT)37.90%	+24.19 pts	Right bloc	84.75%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)54.34% Dilma (PT)40.33% Marina Silva (PV)4.67% Plínio (PSOL)0.41% +3 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.15% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	+8.78 pts	Right bloc	88.20%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)61.99% Lula (PT)38.01%	+23.98 pts	Right bloc	90.17%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)69.51% Lula (PT)25.39% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.83% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.16% +1 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.11%	+39.25 pts	Right bloc	90.70%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)59.23% Lula (PT)40.77%	+18.47 pts	Right bloc	81.69%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)48.10% Lula (PT)33.98% Garotinho (PSB)11.77% Ciro (PPS)5.92% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.22%	−3.79 pts	Left bloc	83.41%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)48.57% Lula (PT)39.65% Ciro Gomes (PPS)4.95% Enéas (PRONA)3.78% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.72% Eymael (PSDC)0.65% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.65% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.39% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.20% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.20% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.20% Sirkis (PV)0.07%	+7.55 pts	Right bloc	85.32%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)24.72% Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)24.40% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)18.68% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)15.53% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)9.75% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.91% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.69% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.31%	+31.07 pts	Right bloc	90.30%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

Other municipalities in the Lagoa Vermelha immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.