RS · Cruz Alta immediate region

Ibirubá: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Ibirubá with 73.24% of valid votes against 26.76% for Lula: a margin of 46.48 points, 50.05 points right of Brazil.

Solid rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +39.35pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 16,442; 102th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Sul
Side changes: 4; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Rio Grande do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Ibirubá+46.48 pts
Rio Grande do Sul+15.67 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)73.24% Lula (PT)26.76%	+46.48 pts	Right bloc	85.42%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)71.13% Lula (PT)21.67% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.54% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.32% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.95% Zema (NOVO)0.24% Samara (UP)0.07% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+51.35 pts	Right bloc	84.45%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)68.42% Lula (PT)31.58%	+36.84 pts	Right bloc	86.30%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)60.31% Lula (PT)31.60% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.76% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.37% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.52% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.31% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+31.99 pts	Right bloc	85.32%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)70.84% Fernando Haddad (PT)29.16%	+41.68 pts	Right bloc	87.34%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)61.93% Fernando Haddad (PT)19.41% Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.58% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)4.79% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.27% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)2.07% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.83% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.42% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.33% Marina Silva (REDE)0.29% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (DC)0.03% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	+44.68 pts	Right bloc	88.17%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)55.59% Dilma (PT)44.41%	+11.19 pts	Right bloc	83.88%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)50.10% Dilma (PT)42.40% Marina Silva (PSB)5.53% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.81% +6 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.61% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.26% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.15% Eymael (PSDC)0.09% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02%	+1.88 pts	Right bloc	85.17%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)50.12% José Serra (PSDB)49.88%	−0.24 pts	Left bloc	83.38%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)49.89% José Serra (PSDB)42.93% Marina Silva (PV)5.98% Plínio (PSOL)1.01% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−13.94 pts	Left bloc	85.45%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)59.89% Lula (PT)40.11%	+19.78 pts	Right bloc	83.76%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)63.12% Lula (PT)29.24% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)4.35% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.08% +3 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.07% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.07%	+26.66 pts	Right bloc	85.50%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.70% José Serra (PSDB)46.30%	−7.41 pts	Left bloc	85.17%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)45.49% José Serra (PSDB)36.98% Ciro (PPS)9.17% Garotinho (PSB)8.05% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.31% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−26.05 pts	Left bloc	87.54%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Lula (PT)53.28% Fernando Henrique (PSDB)33.64% Ciro Gomes (PPS)8.30% Enéas (PRONA)3.10% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.38% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.37% Eymael (PSDC)0.28% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.21% Sirkis (PV)0.17% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.12% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.08% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.07%	−25.25 pts	Left bloc	87.15%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)36.81% Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)23.89% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)14.02% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)12.90% +4 more Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)6.93% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)5.03% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.23% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.19%	+0.57 pts	Right bloc	89.84%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2010(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Cruz Alta immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.