RS · Três de Maio immediate region

Independência: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Independência with 68.01% of valid votes against 31.99% for Lula: a margin of 36.02 points, 39.59 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +27.46pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 5,501; 213th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Sul
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Rio Grande do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Independência+36.02 pts
Rio Grande do Sul+15.67 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)68.01% Lula (PT)31.99%	+36.02 pts	Right bloc	85.60%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)64.56% Lula (PT)27.99% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)3.42% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.13% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.54% Zema (NOVO)0.29% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+39.64 pts	Right bloc	83.69%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)61.46% Lula (PT)38.54%	+22.93 pts	Right bloc	85.55%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)54.65% Lula (PT)36.73% Simone Tebet (MDB)5.20% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.54% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.42% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.35% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.09% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+21.43 pts	Right bloc	84.92%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)62.17% Fernando Haddad (PT)37.83%	+24.35 pts	Right bloc	86.00%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)50.08% Fernando Haddad (PT)27.85% Ciro Gomes (PDT)8.03% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)7.59% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)2.57% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.41% Alvaro Dias (PODE)1.38% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.62% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.25% Marina Silva (REDE)0.16% Eymael (DC)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.02% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+27.38 pts	Right bloc	86.61%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)55.27% Dilma (PT)44.73%	+10.55 pts	Right bloc	93.00%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)48.62% Dilma (PT)44.52% Marina Silva (PSB)5.76% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.38% +5 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.34% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.20% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.14% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−1.82 pts	Left bloc	93.92%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)52.04% Dilma (PT)47.96%	+4.07 pts	Right bloc	79.96%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)51.04% José Serra (PSDB)42.22% Marina Silva (PV)5.66% Plínio (PSOL)0.84% +4 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.13% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02%	−15.21 pts	Left bloc	82.46%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)58.95% Lula (PT)41.05%	+17.89 pts	Right bloc	81.53%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)61.68% Lula (PT)31.77% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.25% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)3.12% +3 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.09% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.07% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	+23.71 pts	Right bloc	84.17%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)56.32% José Serra (PSDB)43.68%	−12.64 pts	Left bloc	81.77%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.28% José Serra (PSDB)30.95% Garotinho (PSB)12.84% Ciro (PPS)9.73% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.19% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−38.11 pts	Left bloc	84.56%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Lula (PT)51.77% Fernando Henrique (PSDB)38.03% Ciro Gomes (PPS)5.25% Enéas (PRONA)2.69% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.49% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.44% Eymael (PSDC)0.41% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.38% Sirkis (PV)0.21% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.18% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.10% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.05%	−17.07 pts	Left bloc	84.83%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)33.64% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)20.42% Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)15.61% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)12.83% +4 more Orestes Quercia (PMDB)11.31% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.44% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.48% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.27%	−8.12 pts	Left bloc	89.03%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2010(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Três de Maio immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.