RS · Pelotas immediate region

Jaguarão: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Jaguarão with 52.50% of valid votes against 47.50% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 5.00 points, 1.43 points left of Brazil.

Lean leftSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −4.14pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 20,364; 80th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Sul
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2018.

On the map of Rio Grande do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Jaguarão−5.00 pts
Rio Grande do Sul+15.67 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.50% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.50%	−5.00 pts	Left bloc	76.50%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.17% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)44.07% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.90% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.86% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.56% Zema (NOVO)0.16% Samara (UP)0.13% Clariana Barao (DC)0.11% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−0.50 pts	Left bloc	74.01%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)57.60% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)42.40%	−15.21 pts	Left bloc	76.52%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)55.37% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)34.88% Simone Tebet (MDB)5.94% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.92% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.40% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.35% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02%	−16.72 pts	Left bloc	76.68%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)54.21% Fernando Haddad (PT)45.79%	+8.41 pts	Right bloc	81.41%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)45.43% Fernando Haddad (PT)30.46% Ciro Gomes (PDT)10.62% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)7.58% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.92% Marina Silva (REDE)1.03% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.94% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.84% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.73% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.39% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.03% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	+14.01 pts	Right bloc	81.73%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)52.46% Dilma (PT)47.54%	+4.91 pts	Right bloc	75.61%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)45.68% Aécio Neves (PSDB)38.55% Marina Silva (PSB)12.19% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.74% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)1.02% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.38% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.27% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−21.54 pts	Left bloc	76.64%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)56.71% Dilma (PT)43.29%	+13.41 pts	Right bloc	77.36%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)49.82% Dilma (PT)42.05% Marina Silva (PV)7.13% Plínio (PSOL)0.77% +4 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−0.12 pts	Left bloc	79.37%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.35% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)49.65%	−0.70 pts	Left bloc	79.45%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)50.98% Lula (PT)40.44% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)5.89% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.56% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.09% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.01%	+2.22 pts	Right bloc	81.29%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.42% José Serra (PSDB)40.58%	−18.85 pts	Left bloc	83.89%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)48.36% José Serra (PSDB)28.75% Ciro (PPS)12.34% Garotinho (PSB)10.13% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.38% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−42.49 pts	Left bloc	85.18%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Lula (PT)48.92% Fernando Henrique (PSDB)37.92% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.64% Enéas (PRONA)3.25% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.40% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.38% Eymael (PSDC)0.35% Sirkis (PV)0.34% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.31% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.21% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.14% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.14%	−15.65 pts	Left bloc	81.99%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)34.26% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)33.47% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)14.30% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)8.81% +4 more Orestes Quercia (PMDB)4.26% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)4.22% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.35% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.33%	+15.45 pts	Right bloc	88.41%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2014(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Pelotas immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.