RS · Santiago immediate region

Nova Esperança do Sul: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Nova Esperança do Sul with 60.21% of valid votes against 39.79% for Lula: a margin of 20.42 points, 23.99 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +17.89pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 4,336; 263th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Sul
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Rio Grande do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Nova Esperança do Sul+20.42 pts
Rio Grande do Sul+15.67 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)60.21% Lula (PT)39.79%	+20.42 pts	Right bloc	82.61%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)57.71% Lula (PT)34.15% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.78% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.69% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.51% Zema (NOVO)0.06% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Samara (UP)0.03% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+23.95 pts	Right bloc	81.49%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)53.38% Lula (PT)46.62%	+6.76 pts	Right bloc	84.35%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.21% Lula (PT)44.69% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.76% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.71% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.33% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.15% Léo Péricles (UP)0.09% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00%	+3.02 pts	Right bloc	84.23%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)63.14% Fernando Haddad (PT)36.86%	+26.28 pts	Right bloc	85.82%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)52.92% Fernando Haddad (PT)21.15% Ciro Gomes (PDT)15.79% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)5.71% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.49% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.92% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.76% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.60% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.38% Marina Silva (REDE)0.22% Vera (PSTU)0.03% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.00%	+24.79 pts	Right bloc	87.03%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)60.94% Dilma (PT)39.06%	+21.89 pts	Right bloc	85.44%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)52.55% Dilma (PT)40.25% Marina Silva (PSB)5.67% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.86% +4 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.23% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.20% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.17% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07%	+5.97 pts	Right bloc	85.14%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)54.48% Dilma (PT)45.52%	+8.97 pts	Right bloc	87.78%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)48.41% José Serra (PSDB)45.06% Marina Silva (PV)6.29% Plínio (PSOL)0.17% +1 more Eymael (PSDC)0.07%	−9.74 pts	Left bloc	89.34%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)64.17% Lula (PT)35.83%	+28.33 pts	Right bloc	84.40%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)66.74% Lula (PT)18.86% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)11.91% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.26% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.20% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03%	+33.95 pts	Right bloc	86.40%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)52.87% Lula (PT)47.13%	+5.73 pts	Right bloc	85.27%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)47.65% Lula (PT)34.98% Garotinho (PSB)11.37% Ciro (PPS)5.83% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.08%	−4.70 pts	Left bloc	87.74%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)43.45% Lula (PT)40.74% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.89% Enéas (PRONA)6.21% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.94% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.52% Eymael (PSDC)0.37% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.31% Sirkis (PV)0.21% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.16% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.16% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.05%	+0.78 pts	Right bloc	88.17%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)28.95% Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)20.67% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)18.97% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)12.54% +4 more Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)12.16% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)5.73% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.60% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.38%	+17.01 pts	Right bloc	90.28%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2010(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Santiago immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.