RS · Santa Cruz do Sul immediate region

Pantano Grande: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Pantano Grande with 54.38% of valid votes against 45.62% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 8.76 points, 5.19 points left of Brazil.

Likely leftSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −11.15pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 8,414; 152th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Sul
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Rio Grande do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Pantano Grande−8.76 pts
Rio Grande do Sul+15.67 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.38% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)45.62%	−8.76 pts	Left bloc	81.25%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)47.28% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)44.35% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)3.06% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.98% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.09% Zema (NOVO)0.16% Samara (UP)0.08% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−0.70 pts	Left bloc	78.51%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)58.50% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)41.50%	−16.99 pts	Left bloc	80.92%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)58.86% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)34.34% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.43% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.77% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.25% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.22% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	−21.39 pts	Left bloc	81.00%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)52.15% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)47.85%	−4.31 pts	Left bloc	82.11%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)40.06% Fernando Haddad (PT)38.53% Ciro Gomes (PDT)9.31% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)7.43% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.72% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.33% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.49% Marina Silva (REDE)0.47% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.31% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.29% Vera (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+2.65 pts	Right bloc	83.98%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)59.64% Aécio Neves (PSDB)40.36%	−19.28 pts	Left bloc	77.68%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)58.41% Aécio Neves (PSDB)32.90% Marina Silva (PSB)7.23% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.59% +6 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.44% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.25% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.08% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02%	−33.10 pts	Left bloc	80.37%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)57.18% José Serra (PSDB)42.82%	−14.36 pts	Left bloc	76.71%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)57.53% José Serra (PSDB)35.44% Marina Silva (PV)6.52% Plínio (PSOL)0.30% +4 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.09% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.02%	−28.84 pts	Left bloc	80.59%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)52.45% Lula (PT)47.55%	+4.89 pts	Right bloc	77.47%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)56.32% Lula (PT)36.04% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)4.14% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.32% +3 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.08% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.08% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.02%	+12.99 pts	Right bloc	81.13%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)57.84% José Serra (PSDB)42.16%	−15.68 pts	Left bloc	81.19%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)45.84% José Serra (PSDB)33.26% Ciro (PPS)10.49% Garotinho (PSB)10.08% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.31% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−33.48 pts	Left bloc	84.51%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)45.87% Lula (PT)41.36% Ciro Gomes (PPS)5.72% Enéas (PRONA)3.76% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.68% Eymael (PSDC)0.58% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.56% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.36% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.34% Sirkis (PV)0.32% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.24% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.18%	+2.01 pts	Right bloc	85.24%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)36.85% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)24.99% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)17.91% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)7.64% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)6.81% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)5.04% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.42% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.34%	+14.20 pts	Right bloc	88.82%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2010(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Santa Cruz do Sul immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.