SP · Sorocaba immediate region

Alumínio: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Alumínio with 52.60% of valid votes against 47.40% for Lula: a margin of 5.20 points, 8.77 points right of Brazil.

Likely right

Lean versus Brazil: +12.65pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 14,039; 270th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Alumínio+5.20 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)52.60% Lula (PT)47.40%	+5.20 pts	Right bloc	81.44%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)50.26% Lula (PT)38.28% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)4.78% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)3.64% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.47% Zema (NOVO)0.25% Samara (UP)0.22% Clariana Barao (DC)0.07% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00%	+13.38 pts	Right bloc	79.51%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)52.89% Lula (PT)47.11%	+5.78 pts	Right bloc	79.27%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)44.87% Lula (PT)43.54% Simone Tebet (MDB)6.61% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.56% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.71% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.43% Léo Péricles (UP)0.13% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.05% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.02%	+5.41 pts	Right bloc	79.01%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)68.13% Fernando Haddad (PT)31.87%	+36.27 pts	Right bloc	78.42%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)51.79% Fernando Haddad (PT)16.51% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)12.23% Ciro Gomes (PDT)9.95% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)4.32% Marina Silva (REDE)1.48% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.47% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.94% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.63% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.59% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (DC)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.01%	+42.85 pts	Right bloc	78.72%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)56.69% Dilma (PT)43.31%	+13.37 pts	Right bloc	79.99%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)36.72% Marina Silva (PSB)30.16% Dilma (PT)28.76% Luciana Genro (PSOL)2.14% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.73% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.68% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.63% Eymael (PSDC)0.10% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−23.73 pts	Left bloc	81.52%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)57.19% José Serra (PSDB)42.81%	−14.39 pts	Left bloc	81.89%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)46.03% José Serra (PSDB)30.83% Marina Silva (PV)21.51% Plínio (PSOL)1.42% +4 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03%	−38.15 pts	Left bloc	85.74%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)62.83% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)37.17%	−25.66 pts	Left bloc	89.26%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.13% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)42.94% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)9.13% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.51% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.24% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.01%	−13.55 pts	Left bloc	90.27%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)66.78% José Serra (PSDB)33.22%	−33.55 pts	Left bloc	83.15%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)57.59% José Serra (PSDB)22.02% Garotinho (PSB)12.55% Ciro (PPS)6.72% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)1.09% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−55.95 pts	Left bloc	83.55%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Lula (PT)42.75% Fernando Henrique (PSDB)40.15% Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.61% Enéas (PRONA)3.88% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)0.69% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.46% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.37% Sirkis (PV)0.35% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.21% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.20% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.19% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.14%	−8.99 pts	Left bloc	86.26%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)44.02% Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)34.65% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)12.41% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)5.78% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.81% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.51% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.41% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.41%	+10.94 pts	Right bloc	89.92%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Sorocaba immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.