SP · Sorocaba immediate region

Araçoiaba da Serra: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Araçoiaba da Serra with 65.69% of valid votes against 34.31% for Lula: a margin of 31.38 points, 34.95 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +37.70pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 26,404; 179th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

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2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Araçoiaba da Serra+31.38 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)65.69% Lula (PT)34.31%	+31.38 pts	Right bloc	80.59%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)64.32% Lula (PT)27.76% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.84% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.38% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.25% Zema (NOVO)0.21% Samara (UP)0.10% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.06% Clariana Barao (DC)0.04% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+38.41 pts	Right bloc	77.43%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)65.91% Lula (PT)34.09%	+31.83 pts	Right bloc	81.69%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)59.65% Lula (PT)30.84% Simone Tebet (MDB)5.35% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.91% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.62% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.48% Léo Péricles (UP)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%	+32.26 pts	Right bloc	80.76%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)77.19% Fernando Haddad (PT)22.81%	+54.37 pts	Right bloc	86.48%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)58.79% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)15.75% Fernando Haddad (PT)11.06% Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.66% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.97% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.00% Marina Silva (REDE)0.92% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.64% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.57% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.54% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.02%	+59.43 pts	Right bloc	86.90%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)72.39% Dilma (PT)27.61%	+44.79 pts	Right bloc	81.60%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)56.77% Dilma (PT)20.71% Marina Silva (PSB)19.14% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.28% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.89% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.56% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.50% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	+15.73 pts	Right bloc	82.18%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)63.32% Dilma (PT)36.68%	+26.64 pts	Right bloc	83.10%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)48.88% Dilma (PT)31.14% Marina Silva (PV)19.09% Plínio (PSOL)0.78% +4 more Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.01% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.01%	−2.05 pts	Left bloc	85.07%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)64.27% Lula (PT)35.73%	+28.55 pts	Right bloc	86.66%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)67.96% Lula (PT)25.91% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.52% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.35% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.11% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.10% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05%	+36.45 pts	Right bloc	87.17%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)53.47% Lula (PT)46.53%	+6.93 pts	Right bloc	81.74%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)40.71% Lula (PT)39.23% Garotinho (PSB)10.36% Ciro (PPS)9.31% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.37% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−18.59 pts	Left bloc	82.37%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)70.24% Lula (PT)18.57% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.11% Enéas (PRONA)1.61% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)0.59% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.39% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.31% Sirkis (PV)0.30% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.28% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.25% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.20% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.15%	+46.21 pts	Right bloc	84.19%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)63.00% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)18.32% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)9.13% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)7.14% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.47% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.38% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.31% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.24%	+62.59 pts	Right bloc	88.22%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

Other municipalities in the Sorocaba immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.