SP · Cruzeiro immediate region

Arapeí: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Arapeí with 50.53% of valid votes against 49.47% for Lula: a margin of 1.07 points, 4.64 points right of Brazil.

Lean rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +5.58pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 2,506; 595th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 4; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

Loading municipalities…

Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Arapeí+1.07 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)50.53% Lula (PT)49.47%	+1.07 pts	Right bloc	81.56%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)49.60% Lula (PT)45.06% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.19% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.87% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.12% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.11% Clariana Barao (DC)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Zema (NOVO)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+5.51 pts	Right bloc	79.40%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.39% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)48.61%	−2.79 pts	Left bloc	76.68%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)48.57% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)44.46% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.44% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.57% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.62% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.17% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.11% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−0.39 pts	Left bloc	75.59%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)60.36% Fernando Haddad (PT)39.64%	+20.71 pts	Right bloc	72.01%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)41.78% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)29.59% Fernando Haddad (PT)18.20% Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.03% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.91% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.79% Marina Silva (REDE)0.51% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.51% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.23% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.23% Vera (PSTU)0.11% Eymael (DC)0.11% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+47.85 pts	Right bloc	74.33%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)58.00% Dilma (PT)42.00%	+16.00 pts	Right bloc	74.45%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)37.02% Dilma (PT)32.27% Marina Silva (PSB)29.32% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.75% +7 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.23% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.17% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.17% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00% Eymael (PSDC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−25.14 pts	Left bloc	75.88%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)53.61% José Serra (PSDB)46.39%	−7.22 pts	Left bloc	76.39%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)44.89% José Serra (PSDB)39.67% Marina Silva (PV)14.96% Plínio (PSOL)0.29% +2 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.12% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.06%	−20.42 pts	Left bloc	78.66%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.96% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)48.04%	−3.92 pts	Left bloc	79.39%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)55.16% Lula (PT)39.69% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.60% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.90% +2 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.54% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.12%	+11.63 pts	Right bloc	80.57%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)60.91% José Serra (PSDB)39.09%	−21.82 pts	Left bloc	82.34%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)41.96% José Serra (PSDB)26.83% Garotinho (PSB)22.66% Ciro (PPS)8.15% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.41%	−46.34 pts	Left bloc	84.87%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)60.15% Lula (PT)21.67% Ciro Gomes (PPS)8.28% Sergio Bueno (PSC)2.76% +8 more Enéas (PRONA)2.35% Eymael (PSDC)1.30% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.89% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.81% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.65% Sirkis (PV)0.65% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.32% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.16%	+34.09 pts	Right bloc	74.33%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)50.81% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)20.21% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)17.29% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)9.33% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.81% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.73% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.49% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.32%	+63.96 pts	Right bloc	82.89%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Cruzeiro immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.