SP · Presidente Prudente immediate region

Estrela do Norte: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Estrela do Norte with 51.49% of valid votes against 48.51% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 2.97 points, 0.60 points right of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −1.51pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 2,463; 598th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2018.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Estrela do Norte−2.97 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.49% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.51%	−2.97 pts	Left bloc	79.66%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.60% Lula (PT)46.95% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.32% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.67% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.40% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Zema (NOVO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+1.35 pts	Right bloc	77.60%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.17% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)44.83%	−10.34 pts	Left bloc	78.19%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)52.98% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)39.77% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.68% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.16% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.15% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.10% Vera (PSTU)0.05% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.05% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.05% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−10.48 pts	Left bloc	78.42%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)53.62% Fernando Haddad (PT)46.38%	+7.23 pts	Right bloc	71.82%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)38.20% Fernando Haddad (PT)34.52% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)16.60% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.42% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.41% Alvaro Dias (PODE)1.72% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.92% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.69% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.29% Eymael (DC)0.17% Marina Silva (REDE)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+21.42 pts	Right bloc	73.52%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)55.45% Dilma (PT)44.55%	+10.89 pts	Right bloc	77.12%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)54.46% Dilma (PT)30.22% Marina Silva (PSB)13.51% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.83% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.36% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.31% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.31% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.00% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00% Eymael (PSDC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+10.26 pts	Right bloc	79.94%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)56.05% Dilma (PT)43.95%	+12.11 pts	Right bloc	81.36%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)47.12% Dilma (PT)35.62% Marina Silva (PV)16.37% Plínio (PSOL)0.83% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06%	−5.75 pts	Left bloc	83.14%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)60.05% Lula (PT)39.95%	+20.10 pts	Right bloc	76.73%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)67.14% Lula (PT)28.15% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.83% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.77% +2 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.06%	+34.51 pts	Right bloc	81.20%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)54.78% Lula (PT)45.22%	+9.56 pts	Right bloc	79.14%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)38.61% Lula (PT)35.15% Ciro (PPS)13.12% Garotinho (PSB)12.75% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.29% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.07%	−22.77 pts	Left bloc	83.32%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)60.21% Lula (PT)24.47% Ciro Gomes (PPS)11.56% Enéas (PRONA)1.80% +7 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.60% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.38% Eymael (PSDC)0.23% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.23% Sirkis (PV)0.23% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.15% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.15%	+25.08 pts	Right bloc	68.77%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)66.67% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)15.04% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)12.62% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.91% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.70% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.64% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.28% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.14%	+69.36 pts	Right bloc	71.23%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Presidente Prudente immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.