50mais1

SP · São José do Rio Preto immediate region

Guapiaçu: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Guapiaçu with 63.51% of valid votes against 36.49% for Lula: a margin of 27.02 points, 30.59 points right of Brazil.

Solid right
Lean versus Brazil
+30.89pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
15,946
244th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes
2
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Guapiaçu+27.02 pts
  • São Paulo+7.69 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)63.51%
  • Lula (PT)36.49%
+27.02 ptsRight bloc80.47%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)62.60%
  • Lula (PT)30.14%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.30%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.03%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.69%
  • Samara (UP)0.09%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.09%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.01%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%
+32.83 ptsRight bloc77.22%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)63.61%
  • Lula (PT)36.39%
+27.22 ptsRight bloc79.93%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)58.04%
  • Lula (PT)34.64%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)4.47%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.77%
+7 more
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.62%
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.30%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.07%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.03%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.00%
+27.00 ptsRight bloc78.08%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)71.74%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)28.26%
+43.47 ptsRight bloc77.99%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)57.73%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)14.44%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)13.47%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.39%
+9 more
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.61%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.04%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.82%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.55%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.53%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.32%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04%
  • Eymael (DC)0.03%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.02%
+54.51 ptsRight bloc77.38%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)64.87%
  • Dilma (PT)35.13%
+29.75 ptsRight bloc79.14%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)53.81%
  • Dilma (PT)26.87%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)16.35%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.68%
+7 more
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.70%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.39%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.11%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.03%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.01%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
+9.29 ptsRight bloc79.25%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)51.06%
  • Dilma (PT)48.94%
+2.12 ptsRight bloc79.84%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • José Serra (PSDB)46.30%
  • Dilma (PT)42.32%
  • Marina Silva (PV)10.81%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.50%
+5 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.01%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.01%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.01%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−7.35 ptsLeft bloc81.78%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)50.72%
  • Lula (PT)49.28%
+1.44 ptsRight bloc81.59%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)56.95%
  • Lula (PT)37.72%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.22%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.90%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.15%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.02%
+14.33 ptsRight bloc82.52%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)53.19%
  • José Serra (PSDB)46.81%
−6.38 ptsLeft bloc82.38%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)44.34%
  • José Serra (PSDB)36.08%
  • Garotinho (PSB)9.94%
  • Ciro (PPS)9.40%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.22%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
−27.84 ptsLeft bloc81.99%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)69.53%
  • Lula (PT)18.20%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.62%
  • Enéas (PRONA)2.98%
+8 more
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.62%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.36%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.32%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.30%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.30%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.28%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.25%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.24%
+47.29 ptsRight bloc86.40%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)63.44%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)19.06%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)8.23%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)7.44%
+4 more
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.98%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.33%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.31%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.21%
+61.26 ptsRight bloc89.85%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the São José do Rio Preto immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.