SP · Ribeirão Preto immediate region

Guatapará: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Guatapará with 50.08% of valid votes against 49.92% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 0.16 points, 3.41 points right of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +2.41pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 5,765; 431th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2018.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Guatapará−0.16 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.08% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)49.92%	−0.16 pts	Left bloc	76.98%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)50.40% Lula (PT)42.54% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.14% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.90% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.55% Zema (NOVO)0.15% Samara (UP)0.10% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.07% Clariana Barao (DC)0.07% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.05% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+8.18 pts	Right bloc	74.31%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.08% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)45.92%	−8.15 pts	Left bloc	77.15%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)52.42% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)40.81% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.02% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.10% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.30% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.21% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.05% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00%	−9.08 pts	Left bloc	76.29%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)60.79% Fernando Haddad (PT)39.21%	+21.58 pts	Right bloc	74.79%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)45.53% Fernando Haddad (PT)29.75% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)14.32% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.24% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.28% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.40% Marina Silva (REDE)0.50% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.34% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.32% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.21% Vera (PSTU)0.08% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.00%	+28.11 pts	Right bloc	75.66%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)51.82% Dilma (PT)48.18%	+3.63 pts	Right bloc	76.70%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)41.22% Dilma (PT)39.55% Marina Silva (PSB)17.62% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.51% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.51% Eymael (PSDC)0.30% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.11% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−15.79 pts	Left bloc	77.37%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)57.49% José Serra (PSDB)42.51%	−14.98 pts	Left bloc	76.87%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)50.55% José Serra (PSDB)39.51% Marina Silva (PV)9.38% Plínio (PSOL)0.34% +4 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−20.87 pts	Left bloc	78.20%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)63.40% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)36.60%	−26.80 pts	Left bloc	78.71%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.34% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)41.84% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.86% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.90% +1 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.06%	−16.20 pts	Left bloc	78.93%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)55.47% Lula (PT)44.53%	+10.95 pts	Right bloc	77.23%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)43.52% Lula (PT)34.98% Garotinho (PSB)12.71% Ciro (PPS)8.46% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.33%	−12.97 pts	Left bloc	73.99%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)60.68% Lula (PT)28.69% Ciro Gomes (PPS)4.72% Enéas (PRONA)2.44% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.73% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.65% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.61% Eymael (PSDC)0.53% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.24% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.24% Sirkis (PV)0.24% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.20%	+28.69 pts	Right bloc	82.06%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)57.32% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)24.64% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)10.98% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.43% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.13% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.57% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.52% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.41%	+49.69 pts	Right bloc	84.09%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Ribeirão Preto immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.