50mais1

SP · Jundiaí immediate region

Itatiba: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Itatiba with 64.67% of valid votes against 35.33% for Lula: a margin of 29.34 points, 32.91 points right of Brazil.

Solid right
Lean versus Brazil
+39.97pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
85,162
72th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes
2
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Itatiba+29.34 pts
  • São Paulo+7.69 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)64.67%
  • Lula (PT)35.33%
+29.34 ptsRight bloc82.93%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)61.97%
  • Lula (PT)27.85%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.58%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)3.31%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.51%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.45%
  • Samara (UP)0.17%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.05%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.04%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.03%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
+36.62 ptsRight bloc80.46%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)66.59%
  • Lula (PT)33.41%
+33.19 ptsRight bloc80.00%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)58.10%
  • Lula (PT)30.03%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)6.55%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.60%
+7 more
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.89%
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.61%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.07%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.05%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.01%
+32.49 ptsRight bloc79.39%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)79.81%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)20.19%
+59.62 ptsRight bloc78.79%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)61.89%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)11.72%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)9.51%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)7.37%
+9 more
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)5.67%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.03%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.80%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.73%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.64%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.50%
  • Eymael (DC)0.09%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.03%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03%
+63.52 ptsRight bloc78.88%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)80.54%
  • Dilma (PT)19.46%
+61.07 ptsRight bloc80.38%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)56.06%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)26.03%
  • Dilma (PT)13.80%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)2.27%
+7 more
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.88%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.45%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.38%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.04%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
+13.86 ptsRight bloc80.59%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)66.71%
  • Dilma (PT)33.29%
+33.42 ptsRight bloc81.51%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • José Serra (PSDB)56.87%
  • Dilma (PT)26.12%
  • Marina Silva (PV)15.79%
  • Plínio (PSOL)1.04%
+5 more
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.05%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
+13.94 ptsRight bloc83.77%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)65.43%
  • Lula (PT)34.57%
+30.87 ptsRight bloc85.37%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)69.95%
  • Lula (PT)24.11%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.83%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.88%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.11%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.06%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05%
+40.36 ptsRight bloc85.84%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)53.12%
  • José Serra (PSDB)46.88%
−6.23 ptsLeft bloc86.65%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)42.34%
  • José Serra (PSDB)33.63%
  • Garotinho (PSB)12.78%
  • Ciro (PPS)10.66%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.56%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%
−32.74 ptsLeft bloc86.62%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)68.05%
  • Lula (PT)19.39%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)9.79%
  • Enéas (PRONA)1.66%
+8 more
  • Sirkis (PV)0.30%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.18%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.16%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.14%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.14%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.11%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.05%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.04%
+40.20 ptsRight bloc87.43%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)62.78%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)17.77%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)8.10%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)7.49%
+4 more
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)2.74%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.46%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.33%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.32%
+63.54 ptsRight bloc91.65%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Jundiaí immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.