SP · Campinas immediate region

Jaguariúna: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Jaguariúna with 64.49% of valid votes against 35.51% for Lula: a margin of 28.98 points, 32.55 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +36.68pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 45,195; 118th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Jaguariúna+28.98 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)64.49% Lula (PT)35.51%	+28.98 pts	Right bloc	81.73%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)62.32% Lula (PT)27.83% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.43% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)3.27% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.29% Zema (NOVO)0.51% Samara (UP)0.20% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.06% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.04% Clariana Barao (DC)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%	+36.84 pts	Right bloc	79.35%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)64.62% Lula (PT)35.38%	+29.23 pts	Right bloc	78.56%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)56.64% Lula (PT)32.10% Simone Tebet (MDB)7.04% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.81% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.85% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.38% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	+29.96 pts	Right bloc	78.32%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)77.77% Fernando Haddad (PT)22.23%	+55.54 pts	Right bloc	77.99%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)64.07% Fernando Haddad (PT)10.29% Ciro Gomes (PDT)9.30% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.68% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)4.94% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.65% Marina Silva (REDE)1.02% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.74% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.70% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.48% Eymael (DC)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	+57.68 pts	Right bloc	77.94%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)74.84% Dilma (PT)25.16%	+49.68 pts	Right bloc	77.93%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)53.63% Marina Silva (PSB)23.22% Dilma (PT)18.64% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.98% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)1.30% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.77% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.32% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+9.51 pts	Right bloc	78.38%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)62.13% Dilma (PT)37.87%	+24.26 pts	Right bloc	79.99%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)48.19% Dilma (PT)32.11% Marina Silva (PV)18.65% Plínio (PSOL)0.89% +5 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−3.46 pts	Left bloc	82.41%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)50.22% Lula (PT)49.78%	+0.45 pts	Right bloc	83.64%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)55.05% Lula (PT)38.54% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.31% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.83% +3 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.09% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.09% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.08%	+10.64 pts	Right bloc	84.34%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.53% José Serra (PSDB)40.47%	−19.05 pts	Left bloc	84.93%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)52.73% José Serra (PSDB)28.91% Garotinho (PSB)10.35% Ciro (PPS)7.53% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.45% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−42.18 pts	Left bloc	84.19%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)64.42% Lula (PT)23.52% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.24% Enéas (PRONA)2.47% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)0.44% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.35% Sirkis (PV)0.31% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.30% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.30% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.24% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.22% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.17%	+36.10 pts	Right bloc	87.93%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)55.88% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)23.59% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)10.42% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)7.90% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.13% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.45% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.33% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.30%	+52.15 pts	Right bloc	89.90%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Campinas immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.